Response of Kip Sullivan to Robert Blendon’s polls:
From Don’s comment:
Dr. Blendon could improve his credibility by conducting polls that ask about views on universality, comprehensiveness and affordability of social insurance. Rather than asking exclusively about government and taxes, the poll should begin with a statement such as “Medicare and Social Security are programs of social insurance that are designed to include everyone and to be funded equitably.”
Kip Sullivan’s response:
Don,
I have what I think is an even more important suggestion for Dr. Blendon. He should stop asking respondents whether they would pay $50 or $200 or $500 more “to insure the uninsured,” and instead start asking, “If a universal insurance program would reduce your premium and out-of-pocket costs by $500, and increase your taxes by $500, would you support such a program?” Blendon’s question and my proposed question make different assumptions about costs. Blendon’s question assumes there is no way costs can be lowered while coverage is expanded; my question does not.
The other problem with Blendon’s question is that it assumes financing of universal coverage must be regressive. (A per head tax of $50 or $200 is regressive; it takes a rising portion of income as income declines.) My suggested question also suffers from that defect. Blendon should explore how support for universal coverage is affected by progressivity of financing by asking some follow-up questions, such as, “If a universal insurance program would reduce your premium and out-of-pocket costs by $500, and increase your taxes by $200, would you support such a program?”
Blendon keeps asking Americans his loaded question, and, not surprisingly, their responses show they are reluctant to pour even more money into our dreadfully expensive system. From this Blendon concludes, “Americans say they want universal coverage but they don’t want to pay for it.” If Blendon wants to continue posing his loaded question, fine, but the least he can do is draw the appropriately narrow conclusion, which is, “Americans want universal coverage, but they don’t want to buy it at the current price at which coverage sells these days, and they don’t want to pay for it with a regressive tax.”
Kip