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Latest Research

The Big Ugly Threat to Safety Net Hospitals

Analyzing the hospitals put most at-risk by the Republican tax and budget reconciliation bill

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By Eileen O’Grady
Public Citizen, March 31, 2026

On July 4, 2025, President Trump signed a Republican budget reconciliation package into law that will decimate affordable health care for millions of Americans and risk the closure of rural hospitals. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which opponents of the law nicknamed the Big Ugly Law (BUL), will cut $911 billion in federal spending on Medicaid and CHIP over the next 10 years, according to estimates from the Congressional Budget Office. Draconian work and eligibility requirements for Medicaid recipients mean that millions of people will lose their Medicaid coverage.

The cuts will be devastating to many low-income and disabled individuals who rely on Medicaid. Moreover, they will have knock-on effects on hospitals that disproportionately serve these communities, deepening the financial strain already plaguing rural and safety-net hospitals and compromising their ability to deliver care, potentially leading many to close.

This report identifies and analyzes the hospitals that are most at risk of closing, reducing the medical services they provide, or laying off workers due to Medicaid cuts imposed by the Big Ugly Law.

Key findings:

  • 446 hospitals are at heightened risk of closing or reducing services due to Medicaid cuts.
  • These hospitals collectively have approximately 69,000 beds and served approximately 6.6 million patients in 2024. They employ approximately 275,000 direct patient care workers.
  • The communities served by these hospitals have a larger share of Black and Hispanic residents, as well as people living below the poverty line, compared to other hospitals. Nearly 20% of the at-risk hospitals (85) serve high-poverty areas.
  • 267 (60%) of the at-risk hospitals serve urban areas, and 176 (39%) are rural hospitals.
  • House Republicans who voted for Medicaid cuts have 196 at-risk hospitals in their districts collectively, and Senate Republicans (all of whom voted for Medicaid cuts) collectively have 146 at-risk hospitals in their states. Republicans also represent several of the congressional districts with the highest number of at-risk hospitals.
  • Five states now have over a quarter of all their hospitals at risk: Connecticut, California, New York, Massachusetts, and Washington.
  • Almost half of the at-risk hospitals have special Medicare payment designations that are typically associated with hospitals that are rural or financially vulnerable and play a critical role in the communities they serve, including Critical Access Hospital (19%), Rural Referral Center (16%), Sole Community Hospital (9%), and Medicare Dependent Hospital (4%).
  • In recent months, hospitals have initiated layoffs and reduced services like obstetrics and maternal care, citing financial strain imposed by Medicaid cuts.

The full list of at-risk hospitals is available here.


full report: https://citizen.org…

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