Feb. 15, 2025
Additional episodes will be uploaded monthly. Subscribe in iTunes, or access a complete archive of the podcast, below.
Feb. 15, 2025
Additional episodes will be uploaded monthly. Subscribe in iTunes, or access a complete archive of the podcast, below.
By Rob Stone, M.D. and Karen Green Stone
WFHB Community Radio (Bloomington, Ind.)
Part One (Jan. 4, 2025)
Part Two (Feb. 8, 2025)
PNHP board adviser and APHA past president Dr. Walter Tsou discusses his recent medical education tour of Cuba on back-to-back episodes of the Prescription for Healthcare podcast.
Dr. Tsou describes a system in Cuba that prioritizes primary care and public health, and that achieves remarkable results with significantly less spending than the United States.
In contrast, our profit-focused system “doesn’t work for Americans,” he says. “It costs too much, it covers too few, and it hurts too many people.”
full Dr. Tsou interview (part one):
https://wfhb.org…
full Dr. Tsou interview (part two):
https://wfhb.org…
By Jay D. Brock, M.D.
FXBG Advance (Fredericksburg, Va.), Feb. 5, 2025
You don’t fix a flat tire by emptying out your car’s ashtray. That would be absurd. But when it comes to health insurance, that’s exactly how to describe what those in charge are doing. And have been doing for generations: barely acknowledging the staggering problems built into our present health insurance system, and doing everything except the obvious to resolve them.
And the failure is largely bipartisan. Both parties’ establishments have failed to deliver on the two most important requirements of any decent health insurance system: make it universal, and make it affordable.
While a significant number of Washington Democrats support a Single Payer System called Medicare for All, which would finally make health insurance both universal and affordable, the party establishment scoffs at the idea. Support among Washington Republicans is apparently nil—their attitude seems to be that we can’t have a system that allows people to sponge off the government. So the United States remains the only advanced nation that does not have universal affordable healthcare.
President Obama recognized that no one in their right mind would deliberately design a system like ours. They would instead go for a Canadian-style Single Payer System. But thinking that you couldn’t put the toothpaste back in the tube, and yearning for Republican buy-in that never happened, he opted for incremental change, and we ended up with the Affordable Care Act (“Obamacare”). While the ACA made some significant improvements, they were incremental and failed to make healthcare either universal or affordable. Just one example: out of pocket ACA costs can reach $9200/year. That’s out of reach for too many enrollees, earning the ACA the unfortunate sobriquet “The Unaffordable Care Act.” Yet Democratic leadership still touts the ACA as the way to go. It’s an empty promise.
Regarding universal affordable healthcare, Republicans are even worse. They have tried multiple times to eliminate the ACA and its real if inadequate improvements. A group of House Republicans have recently introduced a bill to repeal the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022—an Act which limits out of pocket drug costs for seniors to $2,000 this year. The Administration is eyeing $3.3 trillion in cuts to Medicare and Medicaid—even though such cuts are unpopular, including with Republican voters.
We are still waiting for President Trump’s “concept of a plan.”
We have, however, heard from Trump’s nominee to run the giant Department of Health and Human Services, responsible for Medicare and Medicaid programs that cover about 4/10 Americans. Robert F. Kennedy Jr stumbled when he said that, regarding who pays for healthcare, “when healthcare costs hit 20% (of the economy) there are no good options, only bad ones…Shifting the burden between government and corporations and insurers and providers and families is like rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic….Why are healthcare costs so high in the first place? The obvious answer is chronic disease.”
Good on him for recognizing the role of chronic disease. But reducing the cost burden of chronic disease will take decades to accomplish, and we need affordable healthcare now. And talk about rearranging deck chairs: RFK Jr didn’t bother to mention the roughly one trillion healthcare dollars that are wasted each year in accommodating our current failed health insurance system.
That system can’t provide affordable care for the 3/4 Americans who worry about unaffordable healthcare costs. It leaves 100 million Americans owing $200 billion in medical debt and a half million Americans medically bankrupt every year. It’s why GoFundMe’s and free clinics are an integral component of the American healthcare system. It’s why 70,000 Americans die prematurely each year when they can’t afford timely medical care.
None of this would be the case under a single payer system like Medicare for All. It would eliminate that wasted trillion dollars, enable universal affordable healthcare, and still save hundreds of billions of healthcare dollars a year.
The current Administration thinks otherwise. Instead it is on the same path that previous administrations have taken when it comes to establishing universal affordable healthcare: the path to nowhere. Its nominee for head of the Department of Health and Human Services refuses to say that healthcare is a human right. He will likely also push for the further privatization of our healthcare system, which would be a disaster unless you’re ok with your insurance company denying you the care your doctor recommends for you. The Administration intends to do what it takes to cut government spending to fund even more tax cuts for the richest among us: look for cuts to programs for the poor (Medicaid) and for not-so-poor Americans (Obamacare).
Fed up with the system? Worried it could happen to you? (You should be.) Let our smiling Washington politicians know that you disapprove their trying to fix healthcare’s flat tire by emptying out the ashtray. Ask them to support real health insurance reform: Single Payer Medicare for All.
By Jessie Hellmann
Roll Call, Feb. 3, 2025
The nomination of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to lead the Department of Health and Human Services has concerned doctors and public health experts across the world who are alarmed by Kennedy’s decades-long mission to sow distrust in vaccines.
But key groups representing physicians in Washington have stayed silent in the face of what their members call a threat to public health.
The American Medical Association and the American Academy of Pediatrics, groups with tremendous influence in Washington, are among the professional societies for physicians that have not directly weighed in on Kennedy’s nomination — even after last week’s confirmation hearings in which Kennedy refused to unequivocally disavow falsehoods connecting vaccines to autism.
That frustrates physicians who have organized against the Kennedy nomination and who believe speaking out could make a difference as several Republican senators waver about whether to support the nominee because of his past comments on vaccines. The Senate Finance Committee is scheduled to vote on Kennedy’s nomination Tuesday at 10 a.m.
Doctors worry that Kennedy could further worsen vaccine uptake in the U.S., something that has been on a backslide since the pandemic, in part because of misinformation that he helped spread. They’re also worried he could mismanage a potential pandemic, which would theoretically necessitate vaccine development.
“I think they [the AMA] should stand up and say with a clear voice what we all know to be true: this guy is uniquely unqualified. This guy is scary,” said Rob Davidson, an emergency physician in Michigan and executive director of the Committee to Protect Health Care, an organization of doctors that advocates to improve health care for patients.
The group organized more than 18,000 physicians to sign a letter urging senators to oppose Kennedy’s nomination. Some physicians have also contacted the AMA to urge it to make a public statement, citing its “responsibility to stand up for science, evidence-based medicine, and public health.”
While Kennedy, the founder of the anti-vaccine group Children’s Health Defense, has said he won’t do anything as HHS secretary that “makes it difficult or discourages people from taking vaccines,” physicians have their doubts, including Sen. Bill Cassidy, R-La., a key vote who repeatedly pressed Kennedy on the issue last week.
Davidson said some of his physician colleagues have renounced their AMA membership.
“I had thought better of them,” Davidson said of AMA. “It’s hurting their reputation with physicians.”
The silence conflicts with the AMA’s record of work to restore trust in vaccinations and combat disinformation. In 2009, the AMA House of Delegates approved a resolution to continue efforts to communicate that vaccines do not cause autism.
And former AMA President Jesse Ehrenfeld, in a blog post last year about a lawsuit focused on social media censorship of vaccine misinformation, wrote that federal officials have a responsibility to “actively counter those voices deliberately spreading disinformation—or unintentional misinformation—about vaccines and other health issues to preserve public health and save lives.”
The AMA would not comment on the record on Kennedy’s nomination.
The organization previously endorsed Xavier Becerra, who was President Joe Biden’s HHS secretary, and Tom Price, who served as HHS secretary during part of President Donald Trump’s first term.
AMA and other organizations likely want to maintain relationships with the Trump administration and Congress as they consider policies that could have widespread impact on doctors, including prior authorization reform and physician payment policy.
Kennedy is also said to be looking at making major changes to the way Medicare pays physicians.
The American Academy of Pediatrics, which boasts a membership of 67,000 health professionals working in pediatrics, has taken a more muted approach to Kennedy’s nomination, calling it an “opportunity to share the settled science on vaccines with government leaders, policymakers and the American public.”
“We are pediatricians, not politicians,” said Susan Kressly, president of the organization, adding that the AAP generally does not weigh in on specific nominees but provides evidence-based information to senators.
“We ultimately need to make partners where we can find them to promote child health,” Kressly said.
That’s not enough, said Irwin Redlener, a pediatrician, member of AAP, and professor of pediatrics at the Albert Einstein College of Medicine in Bronx, New York.
“I think it is really quite irresponsible of them not to weigh in on this candidate. I don’t care what they usually do. This is not a usual candidate,” said Redlener, who noted that vaccinations are a “lifeblood” for pediatricians and what they do.
“I’m not saying the head of HHS has to be a doctor or scientist, but they have to not be a promoter of absurd, unscientific conspiracy theories or misinformation or misinterpretation of science.”
Not all health groups have sat on the sidelines. The American Public Health Association, which represents 25,000 public health professionals, came out against Kennedy’s nomination three days after Trump’s announcement in November, citing ongoing public health challenges, including the bird flu outbreak.
“We thought it was important, in particular due to his [Kennedy’s] opposition to good science in a variety of areas,” said Executive Director Georges Benjamin, who noted APHA has supported previous Trump nominees. “We’re very concerned people would listen, and we felt the need to weigh in early and often.”
PNHP national board secretary Dr. Ed Weisbart appeared on the CareTalk podcast on February 3, 2025. He discussed the dangerous nomination of Dr. Mehmet Oz to lead the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), and urged listeners to register for a “shadow hearing” hosted by PNHP alongside allies in the health justice movement.
“[Dr. Oz] wants to hand over Medicare to the for-profit insurance industry,” said Dr. Weisbart. “We know that’s an incredibly bad idea … We can’t let this happen.”
U.S. Agency for International Development, Accessed Feb. 3, 2025
“This site can’t be reached”
U.S. Agency for International Development: An Overview, Congressional Research Service, Jan. 6, 2025
The U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) is the lead international humanitarian and development arm of the U.S. government.
Top Security Officials at Aid Agency Put on Leave After Denying Access to Musk Team, New York Times, Feb. 2, 2025, by Edward Wong, et al.
The two top security officials at the U.S. Agency for International Development were put on administrative lead Saturday night after refusing to give representatives of Elon Musk access to internal systems.
And the agency’s chief of staff, Matt Hobson, a Trump administration political appointee who had started his job days ago, has resigned.
Last week, Trump administration appointees suspended about 60 senior officials and fired hundreds of contractors. Mr. Trump disparaged the agency, telling reporters that it was run by “radical lunatics.” He also praised Mr. Musk as “very smart.”
“USAID is a criminal organization” Mr. Musk wrote in a social media post.
Employees of U.S.A.I.D.’s Washington, D.C. headquarters have been told to attend a Tuesday staff meeting at which they are expecting to be informed of a significant reduction in the workforce. Staffers of U.S.A.I.D. have been given strict instructions not to speak publicly about the staffing cuts or other changes underway at the agency. The U.S.A.I.D. website went dark on Saturday. Some of the signs at the agency’s headquarters have been removed.
ChatGPT, Our Inquiry: What is happening at USAID?
The U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) is currently undergoing significant upheaval due to recent actions by the Trump administration. President Donald Trump, with support from tech entrepreneur Elon Musk, has initiated efforts to dismantle USAID, aiming to integrate its functions into the State Department. This move aligns with the administration’s “America First” policy and involves a comprehensive review and suspension of U.S. foreign aid programs. (reuters.com)
As part of this initiative, over 100 senior career staff members at USAID have been placed on administrative leave. This action followed an incident where two senior security officials were removed after attempting to prevent personnel from Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) from accessing restricted areas within the agency. Musk has been vocal about his desire to dissolve USAID, describing it as a “criminal organization” and asserting that it is beyond repair. (politico.com)
The agency’s online presence has also been affected; its main website and social media accounts have been taken offline. Additionally, USAID employees at the Washington headquarters received unexpected instructions to stay home, further indicating the agency’s uncertain future. (cnn.com)
These developments have raised concerns among international partners and humanitarian organizations that rely on U.S. aid. Critics argue that dismantling USAID could undermine global humanitarian efforts and diminish U.S. influence abroad, potentially creating opportunities for other nations, such as China, to expand their reach in international development. (bloomberg.com)
In summary, USAID is facing a transformative period marked by administrative restructuring, staff reductions, and a reevaluation of its role in U.S. foreign policy. The full implications of these changes are still unfolding and warrant close monitoring.
By: Don McCanne, M.D. and Jim Kahn, M.D., M.P.H.
Yesterday’s Health Justice Monitor discussed the human suffering caused globally as President Trump halts US foreign health aid. Today’s report describes the latest development: destruction of the US Agency for International Development (USAID), charged with providing other nations with desperately needed humanitarian assistance. The cost is only 0.6% of our federal budget; the yield in human benefit and international good will is incalculable.
Global health spending in USAID is $7 billion, with a similar amount in PEPFAR, together just 0.2% of the US federal budget. Recently, Trump also undermined global public health capacity by exiting the World Health Organization.
These actions were taken incredibly rapidly, in the 14 days since Trump returned to the White House. They are illegal (disbanding approved programs) and counter to the interests of our nation. Trump is keeping and exceeding his promises, all to benefit his government-hating billionaire supporters. In the process he is destroying US democratic governance and the post-WWII international order. Consistent with the most dire warnings during the election.
This situation constitutes an EMERGENCY: without action on our part, we will see democracy rapidly crumble around us. We must immediately respond, of course without the violence that they are wreaking. Nonviolent massive demonstrations, lawsuits (already happening), and demands that the president and his crime partners resign or face impeachment. And insistence that the Supreme Court clarify that actions taken in defiance of constitutional duties are criminal. The exact shape of the resistance is not yet clear, but we urge creativity in saving our democratic government and fostering humanitarian and national health. Failure to act quickly and powerfully will result in damage that will take decades or even longer to repair.
Enough of mere contemplation of the politics of this disastrous situation. We need ACTION!
https://healthjusticemonitor.org…
Stay informed! Subscribe to the McCanne Health Justice Monitor to receive regular policy updates via email, and be sure to follow them on Twitter @HealthJustMon.
Health Programs Shutter Around the World After Trump Pauses Foreign Aid, The New York Times, Feb. 1, 2025, by Stephanie Nolen
Lifesaving treatment and prevention programs for tuberculosis, malaria, H.I.V. and other diseases cannot access funds to continue work.
Lifesaving health initiatives and medical research have shut down around the world in response to the Trump administration’s 90-day pause on foreign aid and stop-work orders.
In Uganda, the National Malaria Control Program has ceased shipments of bed nets for distribution to pregnant women and young children.
Medical supplies including drugs to stop hemorrhages in pregnant women and dehydration salts that treat life-threatening diarrhea in toddlers cannot reach villages in Zambia.
Dozens of clinical trials in South Asia, Africa and Latin America have been suspended. Thousands of people enrolled in the studies no longer have access to continuing treatment.
Many researchers and program managers broke down in tears as they described the rapid destruction of decades of work.
The programs that have frozen or folded over the past six days supported frontline care for infectious disease, providing treatments and preventive measures that help avert millions of deaths from AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria and other diseases.
Millions of dollars’ worth of supplies that support health clinics are scheduled to reach ports in the coming days, but employees of those programs have been ordered to stop work.
Two-thirds of the staff of the President’s Malaria Initiative, an organization founded by former President George W. Bush that is the largest donor to anti-malaria programs and research worldwide, have been fired.
Since the stop-work order was issued last Saturday in Zambia, all of the vehicles transporting health products have been stopped.
By Don McCanne, M.D. and Jim Kahn, M.D., M.P.H.
ENOUGH!
This action is illegal and immoral. Illegal because the White House does not have the authority to end Congressionally-mandated programs. Immoral because the unwarranted precipitous actions will kill people.
Here’s what we feel in our hearts:
We must immediately demand the resignations of President Trump, Vice-President Vance, and their appointed co-conspirators in these and other profound injustices to humanity. If it requires peaceful but massive demonstrations at the White House, then so be it. (We cannot use their violence against humanity as an excuse to commit violence against them.)
We should also call for an emergency session of Congress so that they can appoint temporary custodians of our government, as we arrange for a new leadership that cares about the people rather than their own massive wealth accumulation. Members of Congress who refuse to cooperate should also resign.
We must end this man’s inhumanity to man. Patience and caution should not be used to interfere with bringing justice to America.
Obviously, these actions are not the normal way we do things in America, but neither are the actions that Trump has been taking. A call for his resignation sends a clear message.
Widespread peaceful demonstrations are entirely warranted – to protect health both abroad and at home.
All our actions can adhere to constitutional and legal norms while expressing our outrage, and building a powerful anti-anti-health popular movement.
https://healthjusticemonitor.org…
Stay informed! Subscribe to the McCanne Health Justice Monitor to receive regular policy updates via email, and be sure to follow them on Twitter @HealthJustMon.
By Daniel Stone, M.D.
The Health Care Blog, Jan. 29, 2025
As a doctor, I consider Secretary Xavier Becerra and his Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) to be allies of practitioners like me. The behemoth federal agency administers Medicare and Medicaid, the Food and Drug Administration, and an army of public health workers. The Surgeon General, symbolic leader of the nation’s healthcare providers, reports to HHS. For decades, the Department has supported medical science in safeguarding the public’s health. Now that sacred trust faces the threat of Donald Trump’s nomination of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to run HHS.
RFK’s first problem is a stunning lack of qualifications. After a laudable triumph over drug addiction, he used his legal background to work on environmental protection. Kennedy never held a federal government position nor administered any public agency. He now appears poised for on-the-job training at an agency with 80,000 employees and a $1.7 Trillion budget. In contrast, Becerra served for years in Congress and on its Health Sub-Committee. He also served as State Attorney General, managing 4,800 employees. The qualification issue is not political. During Trump’s first term, his last HHS secretary, Alex Azar, had served as HHS general counsel and president of pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly. RFK has nothing remotely resembling his would-be predecessors’ qualifications.
Unfortunately, RFK’s shortcomings go well beyond mere lack of qualification. His distortions and public denials of established medical science infuriate practitioners like me. He casts baseless doubt on the well-established benefits of vaccines and on the polio vaccine in particular. Despite the seven decades since polio vaccine’s introduction, doctors still see patients who were infected before it was available. My patient Donna, born in 1955, counts herself among this group. She wears leg braces and often struggles with daily activities. For me, she symbolizes those who by accident of birth or happenstance missed the profound benefits of vaccines that RFK now disparages.
RFK also opposes fluoridation of water. Another patient, Judith, age 80, scoffs at such skepticism. She grew up in Niagara Falls, NY, before fluoridation and its dental protection. She remembers her childhood dentist finding 13 cavities and the trauma and pain of prolonged dental work at an early age.
Primary care doctors like me spend our professional lives working to prevent life limiting and life-threatening conditions like those affecting Donna and Judith. We struggle with the challenges of insurance denials, clunky electronic records, healthcare bureaucracy and ballooning patient loads. We don’t need an HHS administrator opposing our efforts to provide standard preventive care. And if RFK’s judgment on vaccines is so poor, who can trust him on other critical healthcare issues like pandemic management or drug authorizations?
How should physicians respond? I recently exchanged messages with a politically diverse group of local medical leaders. They all opposed RFK but disagreed on tactics. Some said that the American Medical Association leadership believes RFK to be headed for confirmation. They fear that failed opposition might jeopardize RFK’s support on Medicaid and Medicare reimbursements.
The local doctors’ reasoning reflects the same transactional “what’s in it for me” approach that led to RFK’s nomination. RFK mortgaged a share of the Kennedy legacy to help Trump win the Presidency. Now Trump is returning the favor with a cabinet position despite RFK’s lack of qualifications and practitioners’ opposition. Should organized medicine really adopt the same “what’s in it for us” approach?
I told my colleagues that I can accept being on the losing side. Despite my efforts, my patients sometimes get sick and even die. But I don’t quit on them or ask, “what’s in it for me?” So I will not shrug my shoulders as those representing America’s doctors swallow RFK’s nomination like a dose of castor oil. The senators voting on RFK have their own doctors and medical societies in their home states. Those doctors must explain to their senators why RFK is unacceptable to those on healthcare’s front lines.
I have belonged to the California Medical Association for more than 20 years and to the American College of Physicians, the nation’s largest medical trade association, for over 30. Although proud of those associations, I will resign from both if they fail to issue strong, evidence-based statements explaining why the RFK nomination is unacceptable. I hope my colleagues do likewise.
As physicians, we take an oath to do no harm. Sometimes doing nothing causes harm. It is time for organized medicine to do the right thing and fight the RFK nomination.
Dr. Daniel Stone is Regional Medical Director of Cedars-Sinai Valley Network, a practicing internist and geriatrician with Cedars Sinai Medical Group, and a member of Physicians for a National Health Program. The views expressed in this column do not necessarily reflect those of Cedars-Sinai.
By Will Stone
NPR, Shots Health News, Jan. 28, 2025
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will appear before senators this week as he tries to secure his bid to lead the Department of Health and Human Services.
President Trump’s controversial pick — an environmental lawyer descended from a political dynasty who spent years leading a prominent anti-vaccine advocacy group — has emerged as one of the most recognizable figures in the new administration’s proposed cabinet.
The prospect of his confirmation has resulted in opposition from many people in the medical field, who cite his extensive history of promoting inaccurate claims on vaccines, infectious diseases and other areas of medical science. The Senate hearings before two separate committees are slated for Wednesday and Thursday.
Nobel laureates have written that Kennedy would put the nation’s health in jeopardy. The American Public Health Association, representing 25,000 professionals in that field, has come out against his nomination, based on his “consistent disregard for scientific evidence.” And recently thousands of physicians and others in health care have signed onto letters echoing these concerns.
“All we need is a handful of senators,” says Dr. Rob Davidson, executive director of Committee to Protect Health Care, a progressive advocacy group that reports gathering more than 18,000 signatures from physicians (though the list hasn’t been made public). “They should look at his record and it will absolutely confirm that he is a danger.”
As health secretary, Kennedy would wield enormous influence — overseeing agencies that steer public health, biomedical research, pharmaceuticals, health coverage for more than 160 million people, and other essential functions for the country’s health care.
Supporters have embraced his pledge to disrupt the medical establishment, overhaul federal health agencies and research priorities, and reverse the “chronic disease epidemic.”
Kennedy does face “a lot of organized opposition,” says Jay Richards, a senior research fellow at the right-leaning Heritage Foundation, who views that as further evidence of industry efforts to resist his agenda to tackle the “corrupting influences of Big Pharma, Big Food and Big government.”
Backers of Kennedy have launched their own efforts to signal support — one such letter says it has gathered more than 5,000 signatures from physicians, scientists and others in academia (the full list is not public).
When reached for comment over the phone, a spokesperson said Kennedy had met with over 60 senators and is “prepared and excited.”
In his alliance with Trump, Kennedy has played up his promise to address chronic diseases, branded under the slogan “Make America Healthy Again.”
While it’s a broadly appealing message, Kennedy has ascended to this point — not in spite of his past record on vaccines and questioning of the scientific consensus — but because of that, argues Dr. Jeffrey Flier, former dean of Harvard Medical School and an endocrinologist who researches obesity and diabetes.
“Anyone could stand up and say, ‘We have a lot of chronic diseases. We need to look at it,'” Flier says, “The idea that he represents some new insight into the importance of that area and how we should be thinking about it is ludicrous.”
Ross Brownson notes there are many “well-qualified middle to right-leaning experts” who could lead HHS, without the same troubling track record as Kennedy.
“He would not be my choice,” says Brownson, an epidemiologist and expert in chronic disease prevention at Washington University in St. Louis. “Whether the public health world can affect that is a political question.”
And Dr. Brett Giroir, former assistant secretary for health under the first Trump administration, says Kennedy’s path to confirmation — and the upcoming hearings — may hinge on whether senators believe that he has “moderated” his views on vaccines.
“Vaccination is one of the cornerstones of public health,” says Giroir, who’s now CEO of Altesa BioSciences, “His reliance on pseudoscience or quasi-science to form his opinions needs to be changed.”
Kennedy has repeatedly brought up the debunked link between vaccines and autism and other misleading claims about their safety. In a 2023 podcast interview, he stated “there’s no vaccine that is safe and effective.” And about five months into the COVID-19 vaccine rollout, he petitioned the federal government to revoke the authorizations for the shots.
Vaccines are considered some of the most studied medical interventions in the world and are estimated to have averted more than 150 million deaths over the last 50 years, according to a recent analysis in the Lancet.
For his part, Kennedy denies spreading misinformation, though his criticism of vaccines is well known.
During an NPR interview in November, Kennedy said his priority is to study vaccine safety and that he will not take vaccines away from anybody. But Giroir says that alone isn’t sufficient because there’s a lot the HHS secretary could do to “negatively impact vaccines” short of pulling them from the market.
For instance, as HHS secretary Kennedy could remove shots from the immunization schedule adopted by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, change who sits on the advisory committee that makes recommendations and selectively release data that doesn’t represent overall vaccine safety.
Giroir says Kennedy’s confirmation has some “potential upsides” if he commits to following the scientific process and supporting immunization.
But Dr. Paul Offit, who has followed Kennedy’s activism for years, disagrees vehemently, saying he “has little doubt” Kennedy will take steps to disrupt vaccine programs were he to be confirmed.
“No matter how much data you show him, he refuses to believe it,” says Offit, director of the Vaccine Education Center at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, “He’s an anti-vaccine zealot.”
Despite the outpouring of opposition to Kennedy on social media and in op-eds, some of the most prominent physician organizations have refrained from taking a public stance one way or the other on Kennedy’s confirmation, including the American Academy of Pediatrics and the American Medical Association.
By David Dayen
The American Prospect, Jan. 27, 2025
Sometime between the 2024 election and the 2025 inauguration, Americans discovered that they had actually voted for Elon Musk for president. Since the election, Donald Trump has faded into the background, while center stage has been taken by the South African–born billionaire with the Twitter addiction of an adolescent, whose frenetic posts are often being treated like official government statements.
Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy were named co-chairs of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which sounds like a federal agency (and was actually tucked into an existing White House department) but is actually an outside agitator, tasked with devising recommendations to reduce the size and scope of government. During the campaign, Musk said he was confident he could remove $2 trillion in unnecessary waste from the budget. If he meant annually, that’s nearly one-third of total federal expenditures.
Skepticism is heavily warranted. Presidents going back to Ronald Reagan have impaneled blue-ribbon commissions to hack away at deficits, with minimal success. Nongovernmental advisers carry no formal power, and Congress holds the purse strings tightly. “One person’s waste is another person’s vital congressional jobs program,” said Michael Linden, a former official with the White House Office of Management and Budget.
There are signals that DOGE will be even more useless than its predecessors, with early proposals consisting primarily of things that sound funny but serve valuable functions, or things that are far too minuscule to make a meaningful dent in the budget. Hilariously, Musk gave up on his $2 trillion goal before the Trump presidency even started, calling the number a “best-case outcome” in an interview on his social media site and declining to identify specific cuts. And he also gave up Ramaswamy, who was unceremoniously dumped before the project ever got started.
Many Republicans, however, are dead serious about slashing social spending and obliterating the administrative state. House leaders have been passing around a menu of $5.7 trillion in cuts over ten years, including a large chunk from health care and food assistance for the poor. Musk’s following among the rank and file could provide ballast for these long-held conservative wishes, while catering to his own pocketbook in the process.
How Democrats should deal with DOGE has become a top-level conversation. One school of thought argues for calling out Musk’s game of using spending cuts to make room for their own tax cuts. Others draw red lines on cherished, popular programs like Social Security and Medicare, or highlight serial conflicts of interest. Still others counsel constructive engagement.
But the focus on federal spending could also teach Americans how their government really works. I’ve tallied up the savings from redesigning a handful of policies to improve effectiveness, and you really could find $2 trillion in net annual federal outlays, with no direct impact on the most vulnerable. The key lies in knowing where to look: profit-hungry contractors, privatized boondoggles, systemic overpayments, and a mountain of tax avoidance.
The world’s richest man, himself a serial tax evader and one of the nation’s biggest federal contractors, isn’t likely to touch any of this.
This article should come with a warning label: We should not cancel the equivalent of 7 percent in annual GDP all at once, which would trigger a deep recession. But identifying the real sources of inefficiency in our government—the trillions funneled to elites—can preserve resources for programs to help those in need. And it can display the values of an opposition party that has strayed from its core purpose of fighting for the little guy.
Too often, Democrats have leapt to defend institutions that most Americans look upon with scorn. Now it’s the Republicans who control all branches of government; they are the establishment in every sense of the word. The Musk/DOGE plan is one of self-enrichment and outward punishment. Someone should outline a different path.
It’s hard to critique DOGE because it’s hard to divine its actual intentions. Making government more responsive can sit in tension with cutting spending. Smaller government may be ideologically satisfying but also fantastically wasteful. And when billionaires are making the decisions, self-aggrandizement is sure to follow.
Take the preoccupation with labor costs. Ramaswamy has called for a 75 percent personnel reduction across federal agencies. This would hardly save anything. According to the Congressional Budget Office, there are about 2.3 million federal employees with total compensation in 2023 of $271 billion; that’s 4 percent of the U.S. budget. Federal employees were roughly 4.3 percent of all workers in 1960 and 1.4 percent today. As a result, we’ve seen an explosion in contractors undertaking tasks that government workers used to perform. Nearly three times as much money is spent on contractors than federal workers.
Slashing the federal workforce, almost two-thirds of which is at the Departments of Defense, Veterans Affairs, and Homeland Security, would likely lead to more expensive contractors, and also increase the $247 billion in improper payments the government makes every year. “When you talk about cutting people in the Pentagon, these are people overseeing military contracts,” said economist Dean Baker. “There’s already fraud and there would be a lot more.”
Another chunk of the bureaucracy is devoted to processing federal benefits. Social Security’s administrative costs are legendarily low, down to 0.5 percent. Cutting 75 percent of its staff would delay benefit claims, make checks more difficult to process, and invite fraudulent scams. That’s the opposite of the alleged efficiency goal.
Or take what Public Citizen co-president Rob Weissman calls “policymaking by anecdote.” Musk’s brain-poisoned antipathy to anything that sounds woke led him recently to attack the “fake job” of Ashley Thomas, the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation’s director of climate diversification. But Thomas has nothing to do with diversity, equity, and inclusion; she works with farmers to diversify crops, to deal with changing weather patterns. So is efficiency the goal, or merely reverse political correctness and slipshod word-policing?
At times, DOGE’s goals collide with ignorance over governmental procedures. Ramaswamy claimed that $516 billion could be excised by ending programs that are “unauthorized” by Congress. But in every case, lawmakers have allocated funding and therefore inherently authorized those programs, which include things like health care for nine million veterans. Congress can and should reauthorize and improve programs, but any savings would be far lower than throwing out the entire Veterans Health Administration, the Justice Department, or NASA (where Musk has had $11.8 billion in contracts over the past decade).
The closest thing to an official vision for DOGE was laid out in a Wall Street Journal op-ed with Musk and Ramaswamy’s byline. The only named programs slated for cuts are the Corporation for Public Broadcasting and Planned Parenthood, which total about .012 percent of federal expenditures. And there’s a legally suspect claim that the president can nullify congressionally appropriated spending, which would be an enormous grab at Congress’s power of the purse that would trigger a constitutional crisis.
But the main target of the op-ed is regulations written by “unelected bureaucrats.” (I’m straining to understand who elected Musk or Ramaswamy.) Supreme Court rulings, the DOGE duo claim, prohibit agency discretion on rulemaking, and therefore allow the president to simply pause any regulation that he imagines exceeds congressional authority, and subsequently fire the workers overseeing them.
This isn’t what the Supreme Court said; Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo specifically protected past regulations devised under the older framework of deference to agency interpretation. And a president cannot pause regulations without going through administrative procedure, nor fire employees with civil service protections. But these half-truths do serve the goal of rolling back or curtailing enforcement of regulations, which happens to benefit companies that are habitually under regulatory scrutiny, like, oh, I don’t know, Tesla and SpaceX.
Guided by this vision, Musk will pick the lists of regulations the president can insta-vanish. You can see how the incentives would run. “Every regulation has net positive savings for the country,” said Weissman. “They may cost corporations, they may cost billionaires, but they do not cost the country.”
In this sense, DOGE intends to rewire government for personal use. There has been an unusual interest in a $6.6 billion Department of Energy loan to electric truck manufacturer Rivian. Which electric-vehicle maker do you suppose would like to cancel government support for a rival? Musk has also targeted the bipartisan infrastructure law’s program to build out rural broadband; might he be mad about how his own broadband service, Starlink, was excluded from the grant process, and want to reverse that? Is high-speed rail development truly a “wasteful” program, or an old vendetta from a car manufacturer who opposes mass transit? Do bank regulators have to go because they impede the free flow of capital, or because the Securities and Exchange Commission has been fighting with Musk for seven years?
Maybe it seems too parochial to suggest that the “government efficiency” effort is simply cover for defunding Elon Musk’s regulatory police, steering more contracts his way, depriving rivals of the same treatment he gets, and building oligarchy in America. Maybe Musk is a real efficiency expert who wants to bring his style of business cuts to government as a public service. Maybe he’s truly concerned about burdens being left to his children and grandchildren. Maybe he will nobly share in the sacrifice.
Color me unconvinced. And let me submit as evidence a litany of items that DOGE is likely to leave mostly untouched in its drive for austerity.
The federal government is often described as a health insurance company with an army. About 75 percent of all spending is concentrated in four buckets: Social Security payments, health care programs (e.g., Medicare and Medicaid), veterans’ benefits, and the Department of Defense. If you’re not touching them, to cut $2 trillion you’d have to eliminate everything else government does, in total.
But health care in particular is lousy with private-sector profiteering, providing several options for savings.
Nearly 33 million seniors are enrolled in Medicare Advantage, a private insurance substitute for traditional Medicare. It’s heavily advertised to seniors as offering better benefits (including gym memberships and wellness programs) at a lower cost. And it’s true that MA plans typically include dental, hearing, and vision coverage, which is not part of traditional Medicare, as well as reduced premiums.
But Medicare Advantage has been criticized heavily for overbilling the government, not just by liberal activists but also by gold-standard independent auditors. The Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC), a congressionally established expert panel, calculated that Medicare Advantage overpayments came to $83 billion in 2024 alone.
There are two reasons for these overpayments. First, Medicare reimbursement is weighted depending on the health of the patient. Insurers are compensated at higher levels for enrolling sicker patients with more diagnostic codes that correspond to ailments. Insurers have exploited this in Medicare Advantage by “upcoding” patients to make them appear sicker, regardless of the actual care they receive. The Wall Street Journal recently found that UnitedHealth, the leading MA plan sponsor and also the largest employer of doctors in the U.S., routinely encouraged its doctors to add codes to their patients.
Physicians for a National Health Program (PNHP), which advocates for a single-payer system, noticed even greater savings potential in the MedPAC report. Traditional Medicare sets a “benchmark” for spending on the average beneficiary. Several studies have shown that MA plans spend between 11 and 14 percent less, because they cherry-pick healthier patients, even after accounting for upcoding to make them look sicker. Increasing denials of care allows MA plans to rake in even more profit.
In all, PNHP found that MA plans charge the government at rates $140 billion per year higher than traditional Medicare. Dr. Ed Weisbart, national board secretary with PNHP, estimated that Congress could use savings from MA overpayments to add an out-of-pocket spending cap, a public drug benefit, and dental, hearing, and vision benefits to traditional Medicare, and have tens of billions left over.
“If you’re serious about DOGE, here’s something you can do,” said Weisbart. “At least let’s agree that Medicare Advantage is being outrageously subsidized.” But with the incoming administrator of Medicare and Medicaid, Dr. Oz, a longtime booster of Medicare Advantage, that’s an unlikely avenue for DOGE.
Reforming physician pay schedules for Medicare could yield more savings. As my colleague Robert Kuttner has written, pay rates are determined mostly by a secretive advisory committee mostly made up of specialists, who give themselves higher reimbursements at the expense of primary care. The government rubber-stamps the recommendations, and private insurers typically use them as a benchmark. Lowering these rates, which incoming Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has expressed interest in, would not only slash specialist pay but properly value primary care, reducing health expenditures over time by finding medical problems before they fester.
Dean Baker estimates that bringing U.S. doctor pay (now at $350,000 per year on average) to the level of physicians in Germany or Canada would reduce national health expenditures by around $200 billion per year. Some of that could be done through reductions in the federal pay schedule, but allowing qualified doctors in other countries to practice in the U.S. could also constrain costs through competition. “We have free trade in manufactured goods but we don’t do anything in services,” Baker said. “It would still be a well-paid profession, just not as much as it is now.”
Federal health programs like Medicare (which serves 68 million enrollees) and Medicaid (72 million) account for roughly half of all national health expenditures. So a good estimate for federal savings would be $100 billion per year.
The government also spends massive amounts of money on prescription drugs. In 2022, U.S. drug prices were 178 percent higher than in 33 other industrialized nations, according to a report funded by the Department of Health and Human Services. Some of these drugs are sold at 20 to 30 times the cost of production and distribution; pharmaceutical profit margins are significantly higher than private-sector counterparts.
Democrats did take some action in 2022 by allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices with manufacturers for the first time; new prices on ten drugs will begin to come online in 2026. But more can be done. “It’s not all drugs right away negotiated to the best price possible. Anyone would look at that deal and say you should get the best deal right away,” said pharma activist Alex Lawson of Social Security Works.
Using federal statutes to seize certain drug patents and distribute them to generic manufacturers that charge less would also save billions. But more structurally, we could overhaul the monopoly patent system that gives drug companies exclusive rights to charge whatever they want for a set period.
Baker has proposed having the government pay for clinical trial research up front, rather than distributing patents to private companies so they can recoup research and development costs. Paying for clinical trials wouldn’t be cheap—maybe $100 billion annually—but the savings realized by free-market prices for drugs without monopoly protection would be considerable: $500 billion per year by Baker’s estimates. Again, some of that would accrue to patients and private health plans; let’s call it $200 billion per year in government savings. The fact that Trump and RFK Jr. literally dined with pharma executives during the transition, however, makes this unlikely to get onto the DOGE list.
There are smaller opportunities. Group purchasing organizations, which help hospitals buy bulk supplies, have been shown to inflate health care prices and cost Medicare and Medicaid $17.3 billion a year, according to a 2010 report; with conservative inflation assumptions, let’s raise that to $20 billion. Medicare and Medicaid made $101 billion in improper payments in 2023, according to the Government Accountability Office, and have been criticized for weak enforcement even when they find health care scofflaws. Moderately better enforcement could yield $10 billion a year. Boosting funding for community health centers, which efficiently fund direct primary care, saves Medicaid $2,371 per enrollee according to one study. Spending $3 billion to get ten million more people care through these clinics would therefore save about $20 billion a year on net.
Of course, moving to a single-payer system wholesale could yield over half a trillion dollars in savings from administrative expenses alone, per the People’s Policy Project. But even if the nation isn’t ready for single-payer, limiting private-sector profit-taking and boosting public provision comes to roughly $490 billion per year.
In 2023, Congress appropriated $841 billion in military spending, nearly equivalent to all nondefense discretionary spending combined. And the Department of Defense (DOD) is not a model of efficiency. In 2024, it failed its seventh consecutive audit, which means it could not account for all its spending in the last fiscal year, or the six preceding ones either. The best the Pentagon could muster in response was a press release claiming it “has turned a corner in its understanding of the depth and breadth of its challenges.” Even Musk had to admit that “DoD gets terrible value for money.”
He ought to know! His companies have $3.6 billion in contracts with the Defense Department, and SpaceX is in talks with a consortium of tech firms seeking to win a greater share of military spending. But this merely doubles down on a prime source of waste in how we finance our military.
“Our budget wouldn’t be justified if the DOD did pass this year’s audit,” said Julia Gledhill, research associate for the National Security Reform Program at the Stimson Center. “Contractors continue to be rewarded for not doing their jobs terribly well.”
One of the best examples of this underperformance is Lockheed Martin’s F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, now slated to cost $2 trillion over its lifespan. As with most new weaponry, the Pentagon invested heavily in producing F-35s before the design was complete, and before thorough testing had been conducted. The F-35 is not optimal for traveling long distances or close-range combat; in 2021, over 800 continuing defects were found on the plane. Yet after 20 years of spending, it was greenlit for full-rate production in 2024, because to do otherwise would be too colossal a waste of prior funds.
Weapons systems that are excessively over budget breach the Nunn-McCurdy Act, triggering reviews of whether to continue the program. But when Northrop Grumman’s Sentinel, the land-based missile part of the nuclear triad, exceeded the Nunn-McCurdy threshold last year, DOD determined that it could go forward, arguing that it was critical to national security. “There haven’t been any significant consequences for that critical breach, and we’re just chugging along,” Gledhill said. “We do have guardrails in place, but corporate interests are so entrenched.”
Much of the reason that DOD fails audits is that it cannot account for the property it owns that’s in the possession of contractors. “The government doesn’t know if contractors are accepting bids to create spare parts that they already have, because that’s against their interest” to tell the government, Gledhill explained. Amid this confusion and despite all this funding, the military still has trouble producing enough ammunition or missiles.
The lack of accountability for contracting failures combines with rampant price-gouging dating back decades. TransDigm, a private equity rollup in spare parts for military aircraft, was caught marking up prices as high as 4,451 percent in 2019, and had to give $16 million back to the government. But they’re hardly the most lucrative contractor. Five “prime integrators” (Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, RTX, General Dynamics, and Boeing) now take the lion’s share of contract dollars; in the 1990s, it took 50 contractors to command an equivalent share. Some of the five have been routinely cited for overcharging the government. Sole-source suppliers have proliferated, becoming expert in gaming rules to hide cost data from procurement officers, or sidestepping prohibitions on selling commercial items to the government at a higher price than you could get off the shelf.
Solutions are available. In 2021, the Congressional Budget Office offered a range of options to take the Pentagon budget down by $1 trillion over a decade. Gledhill estimated significant savings from service contracts, which make up close to half of all Pentagon obligations. Many are redundant or could be done more cheaply in-house. Other possibilities include unwinding ineffective contract orders and bringing in other firms to drive down costs through a competitive bidding process.
Making such cuts requires backbreaking political work. Military contractors have skillfully spread components of their systems across the country; Lockheed brags on its website that the F-35 has “suppliers in nearly every U.S. state.” Lawmakers are constantly pressured into agreeing that weapons systems are really jobs programs. And DOD is the only federal agency required to send in “unfunded priority lists” (UPLs), essentially wish lists of extra spending they would like but which wasn’t included in their formal budget. “Imagine if you get a raise and you submit a wish list so you can take a ski trip or get a laptop,” Gledhill said. “[But] once the budget gets to the committee stage, when they add $10 to $25 billion as they regularly do to the Pentagon budget request, they include UPLs.”
Putting a number on Pentagon savings is difficult, but using CBO’s conservative figures would net $100 billion per year. Some people I talked to think that could double. Let’s split the difference and say $150 billion a year.
The kind of procurement reform in service contracts and equipment orders needed at DOD could be replicated across the government, insourcing operations and ensuring that taxpayers aren’t routinely ripped off. The Project on Government Oversight has found that federal employees are almost uniformly less expensive than contractors. The Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development estimates that one-fifth of government procurement globally is siphoned away through bid-rigging. In the U.S., that translates to $150 billion a year. As much as $521 billion a year is lost due to fraud, according to the Government Accountability Office. As Matt Stoller has written, management consultants with a tendency to do nothing but add bloat cost the government $70 billion in 2023.
Some of these projected savings overlap with Pentagon savings. But by reining in the runaway contractor state just modestly—more stringently enforcing fraud and abuse, insourcing operations, and no longer paying for bad advice—you could get another $150 billion.
Deficit commissions often play the game of looking only at the spending side of the ledger for budget savings. The revenue side is simply ignored. The typical retort to this is that tax-and-spend liberals just want to raise taxes on hardworking people. But the much bigger available pot of money lies in merely collecting what is owed.
The Internal Revenue Service regularly estimates the tax gap, the distance between tax liability in a given year and actual taxes paid. In 2022, the last year studied, the IRS put this number at an astonishing $606 billion per year. This gap is concentrated among the top 1 percent, who evade $163 billion per year, according to a 2021 Treasury Department report.
Of course, a well-funded industry has been constructed to help certain persons avoid taxes by any means necessary, but you can only access it if you can afford it. A secret trove of tax files published by ProPublica in 2021 showed that Elon Musk paid no income taxes in 2018 and had an effective tax rate of 3.27 percent during a five-year stretch. I don’t think he’s ideally suited to lead the charge to make himself pay more.
To reduce the tax gap, you need more personnel to enforce audits. Economist Kathryn Anne Edwards walked me through some numbers showing the extreme efficiency of tax personnel. “The IRS collecting all the taxes owed will beat anything that the government efficiency bros can do any day,” she said. For every dollar spent on an in-person audit, Edwards estimated, $2.17 in revenue comes back. For an in-person audit for the top 0.1 percent, it’s $6.29. A separate study from last year estimated the value of every dollar spent on auditing the top 10 percent at $12 in revenue.
A large majority of such savings actually comes in during the ten years after the audit. “There are tax cheats but also tax idiots,” Edwards said. “The audit could be a threat but also an educational intervention, [showing] you are not doing taxes correctly. You get ten years of higher tax collections for that person.”
For this reason, Democrats added $80 billion in funding for the IRS in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), as a major method to pay for its policies. The Congressional Budget Office estimated a gain of $207 billion in revenues from that $80 billion investment, for a net deficit reduction of $127 billion. (The White House put the return on investment much higher, at around $700 billion in revenue.) But nearly the entire allotment earmarked for enforcement has been eliminated in successive budget deals with Republicans.
Given Republican antipathy toward the IRS, reducing the tax gap will not be on the DOGE agenda. But a real effort to cut the tax gap in half, even with the conservative estimates calculated by CBO, could bring in around $200 billion per year, and more under different estimates. But that would require investing in enforcement, the complete opposite of DOGE’s plan to cut head count in government.
One way to actually reduce head count and increase tax collection simultaneously is through Dean Baker’s idea of taxing stock returns. Corporate taxes are notoriously difficult to collect, thanks to loopholes and creative accounting. But stock returns are dead simple to determine: combine dividend payouts with stock appreciation in a calendar year, all of which is publicly reported. This obviously only holds for publicly traded companies, but that would comprise the vast majority of corporate profits.
This would dramatically cut down on tax avoidance. But the big losers would be companies with impossibly high stock price/earnings ratios, like … Tesla. So scratch this off the DOGE list.
But what could be gained from it? A one-percentage-point increase in the corporate tax rate equals about $13.5 billion per year in revenue. Setting a 25 percent tax rate through stock returns would lead to almost no difference between the nominal and the effective tax rate. For the past couple of years, the effective corporate tax rate has been around 20 percent. Add five points and you’re up to $65 billion per year.
Ramping up this automatic tax collection would also allow the IRS to devote more resources to auditing the wealthy to close the tax gap. This could get you to $100 billion per year. If you think about it as $1 trillion over a decade, it’s equivalent to an amount put forth in an interesting recent research paper from George Washington Law professor Jeremy Bearer-Friend, who suggested a $1 trillion capital fund to pay for reparations through a 2 percent, one-time tax on all $50 trillion of wealth held in shares.
Bearer-Friend didn’t see tax paid in stock as a substitute for corporate taxation, but he did see the benefits of simplicity. “Companies buy other companies with stock,” he said. “It’s unnecessary to turn to the public sector and not use tools that have been so effective and efficient.”
Another reason to scrutinize the tax code is the seemingly endless instances of spending embedded in it. This “submerged state,” as Cornell political scientist Suzanne Mettler famously termed it, cuts the public off from how the government really distributes wealth. Two of the biggest tax expenditures are the tax exclusion for employer-provided health benefits ($300 billion per year) and tax exclusions on retirement benefits ($250 billion). Both are upwardly redistributive. The health insurance tax exclusion is bigger for higher-income policyholders, and more high-income people get insurance at work than those with lower pay and incomes. Tax exclusions for retirement benefits are also weighted toward wealthier people with actual retirement savings.
There are several other major tax expenditures; the Tax Policy Center lists the top 13 as costing between $1.12 trillion and $1.38 trillion per year, depending on the estimate. It’s a dizzying amount of money, funneled mostly from working people to elites. “When we have public policy debates, they hinge on who’s deserving,” said Mettler. “But where we’re different is that much more of our social welfare spending is going to high-income people.”
Just bringing this submerged spending to the surface, and having a real debate about the extreme amounts involved, could radically change the level of distribution. Rebalancing the support given tacitly to high-income people through the tax code, and asking for less than 20 percent of it back, would get you another $200 billion.
One glaring example of this disparity is the cap on Social Security taxes. Every dollar of earnings above $176,100 in 2025 is not subject to payroll taxes; as Michael Hiltzik has written, many billionaires met their Social Security tax burden on the first day of the new year. Scrapping that cap, the Congressional Budget Office estimates, would take in $100 billion per year.
There are countless other ways to raise revenue, but I’ve confined myself here to limiting exclusions and collecting what’s owed. That adds up.
There are several smaller giveaways that could also be eliminated. Fossil fuel subsidies for a mature industry with stable profits cost the government about $10 billion per year. The crop insurance program has been consistently cited as a haven for waste and fraud, and cutting down on that would save another $5 billion. The Federal Home Loan Bank system receives an implicit federal subsidy of $7 billion per year despite massive growth and a shift far away from its original mission to improve housing finance. A loophole that allows pass-through businesses to shift assets between different entities and avoid taxes is worth $5 billion per year. Baker notes that we still spend $4.5 billion a year on manned spaceflight, even as unmanned probes gather just as much knowledge.
If you sum up everything (see chart), you’ll see that the current budget savings already laid out in this article stands at $1.4215 trillion, entirely from corporate welfare, tax avoidance, procurement abuses, and other funneling of funds to the ruling class. And now we get to the other big cost in the federal budget: interest on the national debt. Last year, the government paid nearly $900 billion in net interest costs, more than was spent on defense or Medicare; the ten-year estimate for interest costs exceeds $12 trillion.
First of all, if you’re saving something like $1.4 trillion per year, the hypothetical interest costs on that money will disappear, reducing the overall deficit. But the bigger way to eliminate large amounts of interest payments is to reduce interest rates. Stephanie Kelton, economics professor at Stony Brook University, recently wrote that instructing the Fed to sharply curtail interest rates and use other tools for purposes of inflation management would create on net trillions of dollars in savings over time.
“The trick is to look for ways to cut spending that will have minimal impact on those who can least afford to bear them,” Kelton said. “I just want to try to explain to the public that there is a painless way to cut $2 trillion, and Elon and company are determined to choose the painful alternative.”
Cutting interest rates would cause maybe the biggest freak-out in the history of rich people if it were even suggested. But theoretically, yes, lower interest rates would sharply reduce the government’s interest costs over time, by trillions of dollars. I’m going to use my version of a magic asterisk and say that the combination of interest rate reduction and reduced interest generation from all the other savings will be enough to get you to $2 trillion in cuts per year.
Such a dramatic and immediate budget cut is not something that anyone in the government should even think about doing. A dollar of federal spending is no different than a dollar of private-sector productivity for the purposes of economic growth; in fact, removing that dollar from circulating through the economy would cause more than a dollar hit to GDP, a reverse multiplier effect as that dollar is not spent on consumption.
“If they found $2 trillion in cuts, and actually tried to do that? Instant recession,” said Michael Linden. Even Baker, who originated several of these cost-cutting plans, acknowledged that “we do have an issue of maintaining demand in the economy,” and that a rapid $2 trillion deficit reduction would spike unemployment for a long time.
But many of these measures will take time to ramp up. Tax collection improves after audits in the out years, and moving to public clinical trials will gradually bring a free market to pharmaceuticals. Moreover, cuts need not all go to deficit reduction: Congress could instead invest in programs with a more equitable reach. Abolishing Medicare Advantage and using the savings to bolster traditional Medicare is a good example.
The basic point is that government outlays are far too heavily weighted toward wealthy individuals and mega-corporations. The right-wing governing majority demanding budgetary austerity will almost certainly ignore that. Hard-liners have demanded $2.5 trillion in cuts just to lift the nation’s borrowing limit, but reversing health care privatization or reforming runaway Pentagon contracting or ensuring proper tax collection aren’t part of that agenda.
There have been conflicting reports on whether Social Security and Medicare are at risk; for every pronouncement that they will not be touched, there is another floating hundreds of billions in cuts. More likely, the targets will be Medicaid, the health care program for over 72 million poor people, and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, commonly known as food stamps, providing food for another 42 million poor people.
Work requirements for Medicaid beneficiaries (millions of whom are destitute “dual-eligible” seniors, so get into the job market, grandpa) and block-grant spending caps for both programs are among the options being discussed. Separately, allowing bigger subsidies for Affordable Care Act exchanges to expire would save a relatively small sum—about $30 billion a year—but hit millions of middle-class families with significantly higher premiums.
There are other possibilities, like tariff collections, repealing clean-energy investments from the Inflation Reduction Act, and reversing student debt forgiveness. But the overall picture provides a very stark choice. The Republican message is to throw deficit reduction on the backs of the most vulnerable people in society; the reality is that it’s the rich and well-connected who disproportionately benefit from federal budget expenditures.
That’s the kind of contrast Democrats could easily and effectively draw. Even without much of a push yet from the opposition party, DOGE was down to 49 percent support in December polling, with a majority of independents disapproving. A more plainspoken approach on the differences between making government more efficient and denying vulnerable people assistance could spiral DOGE further downward. “We shouldn’t give the richest man in the world the benefit of the doubt that he has the interests of working people at heart,” said Linden.
Some liberal base voters have seethed at Democratic representatives who have joined the DOGE caucus, or made overtures on certain facets of deficit reduction. Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) has focused on trims to the Pentagon budget, for example. “I’ve been pushing for a Truman-like commission for defense cuts,” he told me. “If DOGE wants to make concrete recommendations on defense cuts and holding the five primes accountable, I’ll work with them.”
But when I asked him whether he’s optimistic that a serious effort was in the offing, he acknowledged that the variance between DOGE’s lip service on Pentagon spending and their hints on Medicaid or Social Security cuts was a “total cognitive disconnect … We’ll see what they come up with. It’s better to say, ‘We’re willing to work with you,’ and then see what they do and hold them to it.”
Rep. Chris Deluzio (D-PA), a former naval officer, also saw a path for taking a stand on corporate corruption in the budget debate. “If you pay attention to some of the Armed Services Committee hearings, you’ll get some head nods on the Republican side,” he said on the podcast that I co-host, Organized Money. “These are folks who are pretty muscular about defense spending and don’t like getting ripped off, don’t like seeing weapons systems not on time, don’t like seeing us paying for things that aren’t worth what we’re paying for.”
DOGE did not need to be invented. The nation’s auditor, the Government Accountability Office, already does an admirable job identifying waste. “These [are] quiet heroes at GAO,” said Kathryn Anne Edwards. “People love bringing up waste, fraud, and abuse in DOD, I think that’s been on GAO’s high-risk list since 1993.”
Unfortunately, agencies like DOD and others won’t change their practices to conform to GAO recommendations, Congress won’t write laws in line with GAO recommendations, and if either of them tried, every lobbyist on K Street would rush to the Capitol to browbeat the members until they gave up. In very real ways, we really do know where the fat is in the budget; we simply don’t have the will to trim that fat.
But DOGE has forced these conversations to the fore. In a political battle, having an actual plan is typically helpful. And Democrats have a pretty killer one available. Right-wing Republicans and outside oligarchs are making room for billionaire tax cuts by taking aim at meager benefits for the poor. But the real sources of waste, fraud, and abuse in the budget come not from welfare queens or greedy seniors, but from bloated contractors, health care middlemen, and wealthy tax cheats.
By Belinda McIntosh, M.D. and Toby Terwilliger, M.D.
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Jan. 26, 2025
America is more polarized today than it has been at nearly any point in its history. Again, President Donald Trump has capitalized on this division to rise to the most powerful office in the land. As he enters his final term in office, he has a historic opportunity to bridge this divide and heal our fractured nation.
Though we remain deeply divided on most political matters, there is one issue that most Americans agree upon: the U.S. health care system is broken.
A 2024 Gallup Poll found that Americans are more dissatisfied with our health care system today than at any point during the poll’s 24-year history. Importantly, the dissatisfaction crosses party lines, with only 30% of Democrats and 25% of Republicans rating our health care system favorably.
This disdain for U.S. health care is well-founded.
The average family spends more than 11% of its income on health care, and 41% of Americans carry some degree of medical debt, which accounts for two-thirds of personal bankruptcy filings. Insurance behemoths are recording record profits, with the five highest-paid chief executives earning more than $20 million a year, while the average American employee faces unyielding wage stagnation.
The rising cost of health insurance forces employers to forgo payroll increases for their employees and puts heightened financial pressure on small- and medium-sized businesses. For workers and families, this might be the difference between a comfortable middle-class life and scraping to get by.
Fortunately, there is a solution that is widely popular among both political parties: universal health care.
A 2018 Reuters-Ipsos poll found that 85% of Democrats and 52% of Republicans support a single-payer health care system, such as that in the Medicare for All Act proposed by Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt. A single-payer system would benefit lower- and middle-class families, many of whom turned out in huge swathes to reelect Trump. A single-payer system would eliminate all out-of-pocket costs for routine and emergency medical care, and it would ensure that no man, woman or child would go without care because of the inability to pay.
Medicare for All is not a zero-sum game; there are no losers. An ultra-wealthy class of elites would finally be paying its fair share, and the rest of America would pay less for their health care.
Trump has flirted with the idea of universal health care before.
When asked how he envisioned replacing the Affordable Care Act, Trump stated “I have concepts of a plan.” Though this plan has yet to materialize, we can look at his past statements for clues.
In 2017, Trump praised the Australian health care system, a hybrid public-private system that operates similarly to that proposed by the Medicare for All Act. In 2015, he spoke admiringly about the Scottish health care system, which is one of the purest forms of nationalized health care in the world.
Most famously, in his 2000 book, “The America We Deserve,” Trump expressed his full-fledged support for a single-payer system stating:
“I’m a conservative on most issues but a liberal on this one. We should not hear so many stories of families ruined by health care expenses. We must not allow citizens with medical problems to go untreated because of financial problems or red tape. … We need, as a nation, to reexamine the single-payer plan.”
Recent events have made Trump’s nod to single-payer health care even more prescient.
The tragic shooting of UnitedHealthcare’s CEO has ignited a national conversation — not just about violence but about the anger and desperation felt by many who are trapped in a health care system that prioritizes corporate profits over people.
As a nation, we must unequivocally condemn all forms of targeted violence. At the same time, we must acknowledge the overwhelming consensus that has become apparent: Americans, regardless of political affiliation, are fed up with a system that often denies care, burdens families with insurmountable costs and enriches corporate elites.
This shared frustration presents Trump with a unique opportunity to align his actions with the populist message that won him the presidency. If Trump truly stands for the working class, he will lead the charge for Medicare for All.
Not only would this fulfill his unyielding promise to “drain the swamp,” but it would also secure his legacy as the president who finally fixed America’s broken health care system.
Belinda McIntosh is an Atlanta-based physician who served as chair for Georgians for a Universal Health Program and now sits on the Board of Directors of Physicians for a National Health Program.
Toby Terwilliger is an Atlanta-based physician who serves as cochair of Georgians for a Universal Health Program and sits on the Board of Directors of Physicians for a National Health Program.
By Michael Sainato
The Guardian, Jan. 26, 2025
American doctors are accusing US health insurance giants of causing deadly delays to vital medical procedures and care – and putting profits ahead of their patients’ health.
Firms including United Healthcare have denied basic scans, and taken months to reconsider, according to physicians who spoke to the Guardian.
“There’s good evidence that these kinds of delays literally kill people,” said Dr Ed Weisbart, former chief medical officer for Express Scripts, one of the largest prescription benefits managers in the US. “For some people, this isn’t just an inconvenience and an annoyance and an aggravation.
“It’s a death sentence, and the only reason the insurance companies do that is to maximize their profits. The fact that they might be killing you is not in the equation of what they care about.”
Americans spend the most on healthcare in the industrialized world – an estimated $4.9tn in 2023 – but have the worst health outcomes, according to analysis by the Commonwealth Fund.
The fatal shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson last month prompted an outpouring of public anger toward the healthcare industry. While private insurers report billions in profits every year, many patients – and their doctors – struggle to navigate a complex financial system to get what they need.
Lobbyists for the insurance firms insist they are “working to protect” people from higher costs, and stress that everyone in the space, including doctors, are responsible for making the US healthcare system care more affordable and easier to navigate.
But in a series of interviews, medical professionals described their frustration with a powerful industry which had prevented them from helping patients.
Dr Cheryl Kunis, a board member at the Physicians for a National Health Program and nephrologist in New York City, still thinks about what happened when one of her patients needed a PET scan. He had a tumor, and before deciding on how to treat it, Kunis and her colleagues wanted to establish if it had spread.
“The surgeon was very honest that he only wanted to operate if the tumor was localized, and without the PET scan, he really would not be able to make that decision,” said Kunis. “The surgeon and his office, as well as my office, spent hours on the phone. We were speaking to somebody who was sitting at UnitedHealthcare in front of a computer screen who was really not knowledgeable on the underlying medical problem or the test that we are asking for the patient to have.”
After an initial denial, the patient’s appeal for the scan was ultimately approved six months later. By that the time, the patient had died.
“We assume that if he had been diagnosed earlier, he may have been able to do better,” said Kunis. “There’s no way of proving it, but there was a reasonable chance he would have been in better shape had there not been a six-month delay in getting the scan.”
The healthcare system is “just really stuck in this terrible, vicious circle”, she said, “of prices constantly going up, lack of regulation and the insurance companies unfortunately having leverage over the patients who are trying to receive the care”.
Health insurance companies often require “peer to peer” reviews, where doctors are required to speak with a medical representative from a health insurance company to justify treatment. But the insurance representatives are often far less experienced, according to physicians who spoke to The Guardian, and may not even have training in the specific field they are weighing in on.
“When I have engaged in ‘peer to peer’ review, the peer is never a physician that has my training,” said Dr Philip Verhoef, an Intensive Care Unit physician based in Honolulu, Hawaii, and former president of Physicians for a National Health Program. “It’s kind of a farce to even call it ‘peer to peer’. I’ve never had a ‘peer to peer’ conversation that was actually with a real peer.”
Instead, the representatives are “second-guessing our judgment as clinicians”, he claimed. “To be totally clear, I don’t have a financial incentive to admit patients to the ICU. It’s both demoralizing and insulting when a bureaucrat somewhere looks at a submitted claim from the hospital and says, ‘The decision to admit to the ICU was wrong.’”
Verhoef said he often sees patients coming into the intensive care unit for preventable illnesses caused by health insurance company denials, such as refusing to cover required medication, like insulin, or an inhaler for asthma.
“When people need to use their private health insurance, it actually fails them,” he added. “Insurance is supposed to be there to cover you from financial calamity, when unfortunate things happen, and the current system that we have based on private health insurance has really failed everyone. I don’t think that we’re going to regulate our way out of this mess.”
Much of the friction patients encounter when seeking medical care or assistance is fundamental to the insurance firms’ business models, according to Weisbart. “They don’t care about you, and they see you as an expense, not someone whose health needs to be improved,” he said. “The healthier you are, the more they want you to have them as their insurance, and the sicker you are, the more comfortable they are with you being dissatisfied with them and searching for a different insurance company.
“Once they have that money, every time somebody has to get health care, that’s just an expense that they don’t want to let go of.”
The insurance industry’s profits revolve around delaying and denying medical care, Weisbart claimed. “When they delay your care by a day, by a week, by a month or totally deny it, it’s not a random event,” he said. “It’s a calculated business strategy to maximize their profits.”
Many doctors have recently expressed similar issues with private insurers. Physicians are “forced to become insurance experts on top of our medical expertise, spending countless hours on paperwork instead of patient care,” Dr Bayo Curry-Winchell of Nevada wrote in an article for Katie Couric Media, while Dr Claudia Fagan, chief medical officer of Cook County Health, wrote in an article for Common Dreams that she had “seen patients suffer and die in order to pad the bottom lines of corporate health insurers – and in recent years I have seen this problem getting much worse.”
UnitedHealthcare did not respond to multiple requests for comment. AHIP, a lobby group for the industry, said in an emailed statement: “In the fragmented and heavily regulated healthcare system, health plans, providers and drugmakers share a responsibility to make high-quality care as affordable as possible and easier to navigate for the people we collectively serve. Health plans are working to protect patients from the full impact of rising costs while connecting them to care that is safe, evidence-based and coordinated.”
Doctors who spoke to the Guardian suggested fixing problems with the US healthcare system will require more than tinkering at the edges.
Both Weisbart and Verhoef argued the solution would require moving away from private health insurance, toward a single payer healthcare system, similar to other wealthy countries that provide healthcare to all.
“The solution is effectively to overhaul the system entirely and then start from scratch with the national health insurance system,” said Verhoef. “Solutions that depend on trying to regulate the private insurance industry are simply going to fail.”
There is “no way to modestly reform a fundamental flaw in a business model”, added Weisbart. “Their business model is designed on delaying, denying and redirecting healthcare We know a much better way: the much better way is to build a system on the traditional Medicare program. Fix the things that are wrong with Medicare … and then simply provide that to everybody.”
Moving to a single-payer, universal healthcare system would likely cost less than current national healthcare expenditure, according to a 2020 academic analysis – and save tens of thousands of lives each year.