June 15, 2025
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June 15, 2025
Additional episodes will be uploaded monthly. Subscribe in iTunes, or access a complete archive of the podcast, below.
Note to HJM readers: These are politically trying times. I’m distracted by that turmoil, and I bet you are too. Hence the brief hiatus in recent HJM posts. However, I think health insurance is a critical and integral part of democratic evolution. That’s why I undertook this status report despite, indeed partially in response to, the political struggles. – Jim
Congress’ budget reconciliation bill has morphed, far more than ever before, into an omnibus policy bill – possible because policies need funding. A budget bill is not subject to the Senate’s filibuster rule, which would empower Democratic opposition. There’s another tactical reason: the more sweeping the provisions, the less likely that opposition to specific elements will coalesce. Several health insurance provisions are important:
Medicaid cuts are the highest profile issue. Proposed changes include enrollee cost-sharing, lower federal payments for states covering or helping immigrants, work requirements, limited retroactivity of eligibility, blocking minimum nursing staffing levels, and eliminating participation by Planned Parenthood. Total federal cuts are ~$800 billion over 10 years.
Affordable Care Act (ACA) – failure to extend COVID-era premium subsidies would cut federal contributions to health care for the near-poor by $300 billion over ten years.
Veterans’ Affairs (VA) – the new VA director is eager to cut budgets, with no surgical precision in the process, threatening clinical capacity. Community medical resources are often not up to the task of picking up the slack.
Medicare is not directly affected by the budget bill. However, under the 2010 PAYGO law, rising federal budget deficits (expected with the new bill) would trigger up to 4% cuts to Medicare, totaling $500 billion. This is likely to be taken from payment levels, and thus potentially decrease provider participation.
Federally Qualified Health Centers (FQHC) are a major source of health care for lower income populations. Funding derives 40-45% from Medicaid (which will be heavily cut) and 15-25% from grants (which are currently not targeted, though the funding agency HRSA may be substantially cut).
Estimated changes in coverage & deaths – All of these funding cuts translate to large dips in insurance coverage and increases in mortality. Although many potential program effects can’t be quantified, e.g., for the VA, the Medicaid and ACA changes are likely to lead to 16 million more uninsured (10.9 from Medicaid, 5.1 from the ACA). The Medicaid contraction alone may increase deaths by 2,500 – 5,000 per year.
The “armor” is, of course, the broad array of political and rhetorical defenses deployed by defenders of our profit-driven health insurance to retain the status quo – and their immense financial gains. The “flaws” are vulnerabilities: developments that can, in ways both focused and far-reaching, undermine private health insurance defenses. Several of these flaws are now appearing in a potentially synergistic fashion.
Widespread displeasure with Medicaid cuts. Polling indicates that opposition far exceeds support. Only 1 in 6 adults want reduced Medicaid spending; 42% want increases. Most (55-75%) are worried about the impacts on patients and providers. Even among Trump 2024 voters, 2/3 want Medicaid spending protected or increased.
Anger with private insurers. The 2024 murder of the United Healthcare CEO clarified – and galvanized – broad dislike of private insurers. Polling in December found that 7 in 10 adults blame the death at least partly on private insurance care denials and profits.
Stricter regulation of Medicare Advantage insurers. The Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) is substantially bolstering oversight of MA plans. Audits of diagnostic upcoding (which bumps MA premiums by $40 billion / year) are being enhanced 50-fold. UnitedHealth (UH) is being investigated. And care denials are being restricted and scrutinized. This clamp-down is surprising with a pro-business White House, perhaps reflecting the industry’s distinct Harris tilt in 2024 election donations.
Slipping profits for MA insurers. The increase in premium rates for 2025 was 3.7%, the same as previewed by the Biden administration, despite expectations of an increase. UH 2025 profit projections dropped by 12–15% from forecasts, due to higher care use in MA and the payment level; stock prices dropped 22% in April. Other insurers also lost value. Alas, still quite profitable … but vulnerable.
Pharmacy Benefit Manager regulation. PBM pricing practices are under new scrutiny from federal agencies. And states are regulating too.
Drug pricing reform. The Trump administration, confounding expectations, is pushing to slash drug costs. But true to form, blaming other countries – for paying unfairly low prices. And demanding a “most favored nation” approach: other nations pay more and we pay less. Pharma doesn’t seem too upset, perhaps anticipating preserved profits There’s no telling where this will go.
Physicians unionizing. In the last several years, unionization level and intentions have jumped up, with a focus on physician welfare such as reducing moral injury. Many unions are pro-single payer.
Ongoing Support for Government Insurance Role. Gallup polling from Dec 2024 found that 65% of US adults say it is the “responsibility of the federal government to make sure all Americans have healthcare coverage” — the highest level since 2007. Support for a “government-run healthcare system” is 46% vs 49% for ”a system based mostly on private health insurance”. Properly described single payer (“government health insurance with mostly private providers”) would poll higher.
Breaking the entrenched opposition to single payer will require large doses of determination, creativity, and persistence. With no guarantee of success, but every reason to keep trying, because so much health and peace of mind are at stake. I list a few themes, opportunities, and resources. This is far from a comprehensive strategy – which we will return to in future posts.
Highlight budget bill cuts & their effects: Tell everyone you know what’s at stake if programs are unraveled – millions more uninsured, thousands more lives lost.
Contact your senator, especially if Republican: The budget bill faces an uphill battle in the Senate – the vote margin is narrow, and public sentiment is against it. But Senators need to be reminded constantly of this displeasure, and understand the consequences of going against the will of voters.
Persuade friends and family members. Show them the stark statistics summarized above about what happens with insurance cuts. Remind them of the fundamental humanity of providing health insurance, and the cruelty of taking it away.
Eyes on the prize for Single Payer. Go beyond the critique of program cuts. Single payer is the solution that both saves money and provides universal broad coverage with generous benefits. Dozens of countries use it, with lower mortality, lower spending, and no significant medical debt. Use the cuts to Medicaid and other programs – which people heartily dislike – to offer the vision of permanent, universal public insurance.
Expand your vision to community empowerment. Single payer is essential, but a truly transformative approach should also build public health capacity and not-for-profit community providers (more on this soon).
Participate in Coalition-building. There are many opportunities. The May 31 National Day of Action for Single Payer had events in dozens of cities (full report soon). There’s a one-payer state strategy meeting in Denver (and on Zoom) on August 1-2.
Health Justice Monitor: Check out our new website, HJM 2.0, to be launched in June. Blog posts (of course), data visuals for use in talks, a list of 5-minute daily actions, a glossary, organizational descriptions and links, and to navigate all this – super-charged search capabilities including via an AI bot – ask any question, get a coherent & authoritative answer.
https://healthjusticemonitor.org…
Stay informed! Subscribe to the McCanne Health Justice Monitor to receive regular policy updates via email, and be sure to follow them on Twitter @HealthJustMon.
By Jay Brock, M.D.
FXBG Advance, June 6, 2025
With that memorable, almost throwaway line in response to complaints that the just-passed Republican House Budget would separate millions of Americans from their Medicaid health insurance, U.S. Senator Joni Ernst, an Iowa Republican, said the quiet part out loud: your healthcare—your life—might not be that important to her. Or, apparently, to every Republican in the House of Representatives who also supported this bill.
What IS important to them is throwing millions of what they consider to be undeserving people off their government-paid-for health insurance simply because by receiving health insurance benefits from the government, they might be committing “waste, fraud and abuse”.
Of course, people in every other advanced nation receive such benefits as a human right.
(Like it or not, the United States is the only advanced nation where affordable healthcare is not considered a human right.)
And if, as a result of losing their Medicaid, these poor people cannot obtain lifesaving medical care and die as a result, “Well, we’re all going to die!”
The Republican Party goal here? By separating millions of Americans from their healthcare, the Federal government can save hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars over the next decade…in order to provide huge tax cuts to the gazillionaires already at the very apex of our financial food chain, who, you know, are deserving of even more American wealth, power, and prestige than they already think they are entitled to.
And if poor people have to pay for tax cuts for gazillionaires with their their lives,”Well, we’re all going to die!”
The optics of such a callous political attitude are appalling: the American people are already enraged at a health insurance system where 3/4 of them worry about being able to afford to pay their medical bills if they get sick. And when people put off unaffordable healthcare, they die prematurely: each year, that happens to some 70,000 Americans.
“Well, we’re all going to die!”
What is wrong with our health insurance system? It simply has failed to do the two things any good system should do: cover everyone, and do it affordably. Instead we have a dysfunctional mishmash of government (public) entities and a largely for-profit (private) health insurance industry that is about as popular as the American telemarketing industry. The for-profit health insurance company business model is to rake in as many of our healthcare dollars as possible, then spend as few of those dollars on our healthcare as it can get away with. This is in keeping with the fiduciary duty of a for-profit investor-owned business: increase profits for shareholders. Patient healthcare suffers. When it comes to your healthcare, that’s an irreconcilable conflict of interest, and it’s deeply embedded in our current health insurance system.
That’s why we need a new system: one where your healthcare comes first. It’s why so many healthcare experts, physicians, and everyday Americans support switching to Single Payer Medicare for All, a government-funded health insurance system that would pay 100% of the cost of all medically necessary care for everyone, and where an individual’s contributions are based mostly on their income, so it’s truly affordable.
But here’s where things get murky: when it comes to fixing what’s wrong with our health insurance system, there’s widespread agreement among BOTH political parties that the best course here….is to do nothing. Or at least nothing major.
You read that right.
Where not a single Washington Republican wants to eliminate our current failed system and replace it with one that actually works, neither do the majority of Democrats in our nation’s capital. Yes, you’ve got the “progressives” on the Left, like Bernie Sanders, and some moderate Democrats such as Senator Adam Schiff, from California, who support switching to Single Payer healthcare, but the majority, representing the Democratic Party Establishment, are right up there with every Washington Republican who resist any meaningful change.
Two examples: One well known Democratic US Senator opposes changing our health insurance system because so many of his constituents really like their health insurance—a claim hard to believe, given that most Americans worry about being able to afford to pay their medical bills if they got sick. Another Democratic US Senator says he supports only minor, incremental change because people are afraid of change, and they don’t like the government telling them what to do. More likely, these people are even more frightened of unaffordable healthcare costs, or are part of the more than 6/10 Americans who, in a recent poll, say that it was the responsibility of the Federal government to ensure all Americans have healthcare coverage.
So we can criticize appalling remarks from Republicans like “Well, we’re all going to die,” but what really counts is what our politicians actually do— and when it comes to affordable healthcare, the results are dismal: while Republicans might be much worse than Democrats, the failure here, sadly, is bipartisan.
Yale School of Public Health, June 3, 2025
In a letter to ranking Senate leaders, public health and policy researchers at Yale University and the University of Pennsylvania warn that provisions in the House-passed federal budget reconciliation bill could lead to more than 51,000 deaths annually if enacted.
Addressed to the Senate Finance Committee Ranking Member Sen. Ron Wyden and Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee Ranking Member Sen. Bernie Sanders, the letter presents science-based projections of the human toll of eliminating key health protections. The findings point to catastrophic public health consequences from mass insurance losses and cuts to nursing home standards—provisions supported by the House bill.
The researchers estimate that 42,500 lives could be lost each year from disenrollments in Medicaid and Marketplace coverage and the rollback of nursing home staffing rules. An additional 8,811 deaths are projected from the expiration of the enhanced Affordable Care Act (ACA) Premium Tax Credits, bringing the total to more than 51,000.
The science information presented in the letter was produced in response to a request for technical assistance from the Senate Finance Committee and the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor & and Pensions (HELP) regarding the potential mortality effects of several provisions in the House-passed reconciliation bill.
The authors of the letter modeled the mortality impacts of three major provisions in the House bill:
In addition, the bill’s failure to extend the ACA’s enhanced premium tax credits is expected to push another 5 million Americans into uninsurance, resulting in 8,811 more deaths each year.
“These are not abstract numbers,” said Dr. Alison Galvani, PhD, Director of the Yale Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis at the Yale School of Public Health. “Every data point represents a human life. These cuts would disproportionately harm the most vulnerable communities in America, including older adults, low-income families, and people already at the margins of our health care system.”
To generate their mortality estimates, the research team relied on peer-reviewed studies quantifying the relationship between insurance coverage, access to prescription drug subsidies, and nursing home staffing levels with all-cause mortality. These estimates were applied to population loss projections from the Congressional Budget Office, which were released in May 2025. The researchers emphasized that the effects are additive across distinct groups—uninsured adults, low-income seniors, and nursing home residents—resulting in a total projection of more than 51,000 deaths annually if the proposed policies take effect.
The research was conducted by experts from Yale School of Public Health and University of Pennsylvania Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics.
The letter is signed by Drs. Rachel M. Werner, Norma B. Coe, and Eric T. Roberts from the University of Pennsylvania and Drs. Galvani, Abhishek Pandey, and Yang Ye from Yale University.
By Therese Derovanessian, M.D.
Physiatry Forward, Association of Academic Physiatrists, Summer 2025
Mr. Johnson arrived on the inpatient rehabilitation floor unable to move the left side of his body, barely able to speak after a massive stroke. Day by day, with intensive therapy, he began to regain his speech and mobility.
Ms. Tammy, who lives with cerebral palsy, came in with her caregiver to replace her broken wheelchair after years of use. Her replacement allowed her to maintain her independence.
What both patients had in common, and the only reason they could access this essential care, was that they, like 43% of all non-elderly disabled adults, were covered by Medicaid.
Physiatrists have seen what happens when patients are denied medically necessary rehabilitation—not because it is not indicated, but because of insurance coverage. The proposed “One Big, Beautiful Bill” Act threatens to restrict essential access to rehabilitation services further. The bill would slash $700 billion from Medicaid over the next decade through eligibility restrictions, benefit reductions, and privatization. (1) According to the Congressional Budget Office, nearly 11 million Americans could lose coverage entirely. (2) This is particularly alarming for the disability community, who account for 72% of all Medicaid expenditures (3) and account for 15 million people. (4)
For our patients, Medicaid isn’t a safety net—it’s the foundation for survival. (5) The consequences of gutting Medicaid go far beyond numbers on a spreadsheet—they are felt most acutely by people with disabilities. The House’s 2025 budget proposal would slash over $2 trillion in programs serving low- and moderate income Americans, with Medicaid bearing a major brunt. For people with disabilities, this could mean losing access to home care, personal attendants, assistive equipment, or even institutional care— services that are often life-sustaining. According to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, (6) many of the proposed changes are not designed with the unique realities of disability in mind: they ignore that many disabled individuals cannot meet work-reporting requirements and already face extensive administrative hurdles.
Disability rights activist Julie Farrar recently said in an interview, (7) “I was born missing 12 vertebrae, and every six months, I have to prove I’m still disabled enough to qualify.”
The disability community is already subject to exhausting eligibility reviews and coverage instability. Further cuts will only deepen this issue, isolating people from the care that supports their survival, independence, and dignity.
We must reject this direction.
Physiatrists are at the frontlines. We understand the value of function, the cost of losing it, and our patients’ long, nonlinear journeys. We cannot stay silent as access to that care is eroded.
While we defend Medicaid, we must also look forward. A well-designed single-payer system—such as that proposed by Physicians for a National Health Program (PNHP)— would ensure continuity, equity, and dignity. Critically, it would include:
As physicians and physiatrists, we must:
Physiatry was built to restore function and preserve independence. We must use that expertise to build a system that includes everyone—not just those who can afford to fight for it.
Dr. Therese Derovanessian is an Armenian-American from Seattle, Washington who recently graduated from medical school in New York and is now an incoming preliminary medicine resident at NYU Langone Long Island. She will continue her advanced PM&R training at Johns Hopkins.
Therese is passionate about disability justice, health policy, and advancing global rehabilitation care. She actively advocates for legislation impacting her patients’ lives and believes physician voices are essential at the policy table. Clinically, Therese gravitates toward interventional pain management, especially for oncological and medically complex patients. However, she remains open-minded and curious, finding nearly every subspecialty within physiatry engaging and full of possibility.
Heal This Sick Country: ‘Hands Up’ for the National Day of Action for Single Payer, Common Dreams, April 27, 2025, by Judy Albert, Ed Grystar, Ana Malinow, Kay Tillow, and Claire M. Cohen
Event details provided HERE. Scroll down a little to “Find an Action” or click HERE.
Today, we call on people across the country to gather on May 31, 2025, to put their “Hands Up” for:
President Donald Trump’s inauguration has introduced the prospect of severe hardships to working class and low-income people, people with disabilities, the elderly, and children with proposed cuts to Medicaid, Medicare, and Social Security necessary to fund tax cuts for the wealthy. This moment demands more than the protection of our public programs; it demands a national, single-payer healthcare program, free from profit, for everyone. One people, one plan.
The complicity of our government in the profit-making enterprise of health insurance has been exposed once again when, on Monday April 7, the Trump administration raised payment rates for Medicare Advantage insurers by 5.1%, significantly more than the Biden administration’s proposed increase of 2.2%, which was bad enough. This rate increase has the potential to increase payments to MA by $25 billion next year.
[ see article for more examples of how our insurance approach increasingly places profits over health care ]
By Jim Kahn, M.D., M.P.H.
This imminent national event is exciting!
Popular demand is an essential element of achieving single payer – the desperately needed transformation of how we pay for health care. Single payer / Medicare for All places people over profits, annually saving hundreds of thousands of lives and tens of billions of dollars (as HJM has often reported). What decreases is hassle, administrative waste, and profits for payer intermediaries.
The path to single pay is, we have found over decades, very difficult. We must redouble our efforts.
Express your demands for health care justice on Saturday! Spread the word!
See links above to find out more.
https://healthjusticemonitor.org…
Stay informed! Subscribe to the McCanne Health Justice Monitor to receive regular policy updates via email, and be sure to follow them on Twitter @HealthJustMon.
VA Secretary Collins: Indifferent to Public’s and Congressional Opposition to His Gutting Veterans’ Care, The American Prospect, May 23, 2025, by Suzanne Gordon & Russell Lemle
When Doug Collins first appeared before the Senate Committee on Veterans’ Affairs (SVAC) for his confirmation hearing, his comforting bromides about his commitment to the VA and veterans lulled Democratic members, who, with only a few exceptions, voted to confirm Collins as President Trump’s new secretary of the Department of Veterans Affairs. As one Capitol Hill insider told the Prospect, many believed that, unlike Pete Hegseth or RFK Jr., Collins was “a man they could work with.” …
Fast-forward four and a half months to May 6th, when Collins appeared for the second time in front of the Senate Committee, and May 15th, when he made his first appearance before the HVAC. Assessing his first months on the job, Democrats now clearly viewed Collins as someone working not with, but against, them—and against the nation’s veterans. They expressed anger at his firing of 1,000 probationary employees, his cancelation of hundreds of contracts with vendors that supply VA with critical resources, and his termination of VA researchers, thus interrupting clinical trials that could benefit veterans. And, of course, there was Collins’s vow to lay off 83,000 VA employees. …
As one VA observer who chose to remain anonymous observed, “Some VISN staff reductions could occur without loss of functional capability if such were done in a systematic and thoughtful manner. In doing so, however, it would be important to work with the Congress on what programmatic, reporting, and other requirements they are going to insist upon going forward.”
As for all those supposed underperforming doctors and nurses Collins wants to reassign or fire, some are chiefs of medicine, chiefs of staff, chiefs of nursing, or nurse managers who provide the kind of clinical leadership without which no hospital or health system can function. These administrative positions also require the very clinical background that Collins seems to dismiss. …
At the end of the House hearing, ranking member Takano displayed a spreadsheet in which Collins’s team had calculated the cost savings that would result from a 15 percent reduction in every VA classification. The spreadsheet, Takano said, estimated that cutting 4,000 nurses would save $1 billion, while cutting 400 psychologists would save $110 million. Why, Takano asked the secretary, had Collins requested that his team conduct this kind of analysis given that he’d promised not to cut direct-care staff?
Instead of responding to the question, Collins began yelling at the ranking member …
On the afternoon after the Senate hearing, a group of 60 members of Common Defense, a progressive veterans’ organization that has launched a nationwide campaign called “VA: Not For Sale,” joined nurses and congressmembers on the steps of the U.S. Capitol to protest Collins’s plans. Common Defense’s executive director, Army veteran Jose Vasquez … told the Prospect that Common Defense is adamantly opposed to arbitrary mass layoffs at the VA. “VA shouldn’t be firing 8, or 80, or 8,000, much less 83,000 employees. The VA needs to hire, not fire.” More importantly, Vasquez added, “instead of attacking VA doctors and nurses who contribute to our care in all kinds of ways, VA leaders should be supporting the dedicated caregivers who themselves sacrifice to support veterans like me.”
Call To Action May 31, 2025: Demand Health Not Profit!, search “Action Sites” on the webpage for a US map – will update all week as new sites are added!
We call on communities across the country to join in a National Day of Action on Saturday, May 31, 2025, to put National Single Payer Healthcare on the nation’s agenda.
Our health care system is broken beyond repair. Insurance companies and for-profit middlemen create barriers to care and massive administrative waste. These result in unnecessary suffering and deaths. For over 60 years, piecemeal reforms have resulted in higher costs and the worst health outcomes among comparable nations.
We demand the recognition by our government that health care is a human right.
We demand the elimination of private health insurance and the banning of for-profit delivery of care.
We demand the enactment of a publicly financed, national single payer program that would provide comprehensive coverage to everyone.
We demand that health care delivery be transformed from profit-seeking ventures into services organized to serve the people of our country, a system in which all caregivers are freed from corporate control.
The National Day of Action will bring people together locally and nationally from neighborhoods, unions, faith groups, businesses, and all types of civic organizations to join the demand to remove profit from health care. We must focus our collective anger towards corporate health insurers to bring real reform: put National Single Payer on the nation’s agenda!
By Jim Kahn, M.D., M.P.H.
On Memorial Day, of course our attention turns to the health care of military veterans. Only to find, sadly, that this group – which voted 65% for Trump – is being mistreated by his administration. Unlike other nominees requiring Senate confirmation, Doug Collins seemed competent and committed to the VA role, to the welfare of veterans. But, as it turns out, he’s committed most of all to cutting budgets, regardless of consequences. And when questioned on this anti-veteran approach, he bristles. Thus we find that even this highly valued group of Americans suffers from being a lower priority than the billionaires whose tax cuts are the payment due for supporting the current president’s campaign.
Single payer – with everyone served by the same public system – is the way to assure adequate funding. Indeed, it is the path to combining efficiency with generosity, by eliminating administrative complexity and intermediary (insurer) profit-taking.
An exciting national day of action for single payer is just 5 days away! Join the event nearest you. Raise our voices — demand health care justice. Louder and louder every day!
https://healthjusticemonitor.org…
Stay informed! Subscribe to the McCanne Health Justice Monitor to receive regular policy updates via email, and be sure to follow them on Twitter @HealthJustMon.
By Stephen Kemble, M.D.
Counter Punch, May 22, 2025
Privatization of publicly funded Medicare and Medicaid, managed care, and “value-based payment” (1) have failed to reduce cost or improve population health despite over 30 years of trying, and a new paradigm for health policy is needed. This article summarizes key health policy concepts and the implications of different payment systems and offers recommendations for design of an optimally cost-effective system enabling universal high-quality care at lowest cost.
1. Should Health Care be Financed as a Public Good or with Market Competition?
Public funding is appropriate for essential public services necessary for everyone—funded by taxes and paid for with budgets based on cost of operations, with no opportunity for profit or loss. Examples include police and fire departments, public schools, the military, roads and bridges, and government services. Health care should be added to this list. Other industrialized countries with far more cost-effective universal systems treat health care as a public good, not a commodity.
Marketplace financing uses competition, market forces, private enterprise, and opportunity for profit and risk of loss. This works well for consumer goods, industry and manufacturing, hotels and restaurants, fuel and food production, and housing (except for those in poverty). These are appropriately subject to market forces, but health care is not.
2. Ethics: Professional vs Commercial Ethics
Professional ethics, traditional in medicine and other professions, put patient or client interests and welfare first, ahead of personal financial interests.
Commercial ethics prioritize financial interests of owner(s) or shareholders. Patients or clients (and taxpayers) are viewed as consumers from whom money can be extracted.
Reliance on professional ethics in health care is not perfect, but it works much better than commercial ethics and there are effective ways to deal with outliers who engage in unethical practices. It would be far less costly to manage outlier practitioners than to try to control mega-corporations that have amassed deep pockets at taxpayer expense.
Profiteering and the corporatization of health care, with substitution of commercial for professional ethics, is the main root cause of excessive cost and dysfunction in U.S. health care.
3. Insurance Risk:
The entity that covers the unpredictable variability in healthcare cost bears insurance risk. Direct payment of providers with fee-for-service means claims received will be variable and somewhat unpredictable, and risk is retained by the payer.
Government programs may contract payment to private fiscal intermediaries with capitation (payment per-member, per-month), as in Medicare Advantage, Medicaid Managed Care, and Medicare Accountable Care Organizations, shifting insurance risk onto the intermediary. A fiscal intermediary contracting to assume risk will always try to over-charge—usually to assure around 90% chance of profit, 10% risk of loss.
4. Excessive Cost of U.S. Health Care:
The managed care paradigm blames excessive cost on fee-for-service with its presumed incentive to provide unnecessary care and over-utilization. The solution offered is “value-based payment” (see below) or up-front funding for care of a defined population with capitation (2). But the U.S. has never had higher utilization compared to other countries that use fee-for-service and whose universal health care costs half as much per person, so fee-for-service cannot be the cause of excessive U.S. healthcare cost (3). The difference between the U.S. and other countries is in administrative cost and pharmaceutical prices, not over-utilization (4). And market financing of U.S. health care means about a third of total cost goes to administration (5,6).
1. Fee-for-service (FFS)
Simple FFS is inexpensive to administer, although FFS as implemented in the U.S. is often unnecessarily complex and costly. For doctors, FFS rewards productivity—working harder means more pay. FFS is compatible with “patient first” professional ethics and it is compatible with independent private practice. FFS does not shift insurance risk onto providers of care, so it does not need risk adjustment or linking payment to diagnostic coding, and up-coding is not an issue.
However, FFS can reward unnecessary treatment. FFS is more likely to be abused when billing is separated from direct contact with the patient, allowing substitution of commercial ethics for professional ethics. Abuse of FFS is lowest with doctors in independent practice who bill out of their office, more problematic with doctors employed by a large group practice or hospital, and worst with for-profit ownership of doctors’ practices by an insurance company or private equity (7). Current trends are in the wrong direction.
For government programs, paying doctors and hospitals directly with FFS means government retains insurance risk and must cover the variability in claims received. However, the larger the risk pool the more manageable this unpredictability becomes, and reserve funds and re-insurance can manage budgetary uncertainty without shifting risk to third-party intermediaries.
2. Salaries for doctors
Salaries are inexpensive to administer, do not create incentives to over- or under-treat, and are compatible with “patient first” professional ethics. However, payment with salaries requires an employer, which can be a problem if the employer is profit-seeking and paid with either fee-for-service divorced from contact with the patient or capitation with its incentive for profiteering. Salaried doctors who can control their schedule/workload may be tempted to become less productive, but this can be mitigated with salary plus a small productivity incentive.
3. “Value-based payment” and capitation
“Value-based payment” systems hold doctors and hospitals accountable for quality and cost of care, even when cost and quality outcomes depend largely on patient characteristics that are beyond the control of care providers. “Capitation” is an advanced form of “value-based payment,” defined as up-front payment per-capita, based on the average per-person cost for a defined population of “members.” Value-based payment and capitation shift insurance risk onto care providers.
Capitation is a simple concept, that seemingly should be inexpensive to administer and provide cost control because care delivery must live within a capitated budget. But capitation is not the same as a simple budget, and in a competitive setting introduces inherent perverse incentives, requires added administrative burdens and costs, and does not assure budgetary control.
These incentives align to raise administrative cost and worsen disparities in care, and they conflict with professional ethics, contributing to physician moral injury.
Government programs (Medicare and Medicaid) may think capitation of fiscal intermediaries is a convenience because per-member payment is fixed for a contract year. However, payer risk due to changes in enrollment remains, and predictable funding is not assured over subsequent contract periods. Capitated fiscal intermediaries can keep unspent funds, inviting profiteering by plans guided by commercial instead of professional ethics. And government contracts with capitated plans means loss of control of the budget year-to-year, because in practice plans can extract whatever raises they want by gaming financial data reported to government (10).
For doctors, payment with capitation is independent of office visits, how often a patient is seen, or even whether a “member” is seen at all. Capitated doctors were protected from loss of income when patients stopped coming to the office during the COVID-19 pandemic. In theory, capitation does not require linking every service to a procedure code, but in practice payers using capitation often require fee-for-service claims for budgeting and benchmarking purposes, precluding administrative savings. And the perverse incentives and administrative costs of capitation listed above all apply.
4. Paying hospitals and other institutional providers
Fee-for-service
Hospital fee-for-service billing is extremely complex and heavily gamed, with chargemaster fee-setting, cost-shifting across different insurance lines of business, unreimbursed care, different in-network and out-of-network fees, and data reporting for value-based payment schemes. Large savings could be realized by paying hospitals with global budgets (see below) instead of fee-for-service.
Capitation
Attributing “members” to a hospital is problematic unless the hospital is part of a closed system with members who signed up for that system (e.g. Kaiser). The perverse incentives inherent to capitation listed above apply to hospitals in capitated systems.
Global budgeting
Simple global budgeting of hospitals (as in Canada) pays hospitals with global operating budgets based on cost of operations, including salaries for employed doctors and other professionals, plus separate budgets for capital improvements based on community need. Simple global budgeting of hospitals does not involve capitation (no “members”) or risk shifting and can’t be easily gamed like fee-for-service or “value-based payment.” Hospital administrative costs per capita in Canada (in US dollars) are less than a quarter of those in U.S. hospitals (11).
Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services has been promoting the AHEAD model (“Advancing All-Payer Health Equity Approaches and Development”) (12), which includes a version of global hospital budgets applied on top of fee-for-service with rates standardized across all payers, with claims revenue reconciled to the budget at the end of the year, plus partial capitation with attributed “members” and “value-based” add-ons. These include pay-for-performance and incentives to address inequities and social determinants that are largely not under the control of the hospital. This version of hospital budgeting has none of the administrative savings of simple global budgeting, and in fact piles on more administrative burdens and cost.
1. Health care should be publicly financed by government, and the government payer should retain insurance risk, with no sub-contracting to risk-bearing fiscal intermediaries. Risk is most cost-effectively managed with broadest possible risk pooling plus financial reserves and/or re-insurance.
2. The major focus of reform should be on reducing administrative cost and therefore prices, not “managing” utilization of care.
3. Physicians could be either in independent practice or employed, and hospitals could be either privately or publicly owned, but ownership of doctors’ practices and hospitals by for-profit corporations or private equity and the corporate practice of medicine should be banned by law.
4. “Value-based payment” introduces perverse incentives and high administrative costs that preclude real value and should have no place in health care.
5. Large administrative savings could be achieved with simplified, standardized payment of care providers. Simplified fee-for-service would be appropriate for doctors in independent practice, with all procedures reduced to professional time required and hourly rates based on required training. Fee-for-service based on time and training would be much fairer and less costly to administer than attempting to assign a relative value to each of thousands of procedure codes (13). Payment should be based on the value of the time and expertise of the professional performing a procedure instead of attributing value to the procedure itself.
6. Hospitals, other institutional providers, and community-based health services should be paid with global budgets, with employed doctors paid with salaries.
7. Pharmaceutical prices should be regulated and negotiated by government.
8. Necessary administrative functions and quality assurance may be publicly administered or contracted out to an Administrative Services Only contractor on a non-risk basis.
Savings would come from markedly reducing billing and collections costs for doctors and hospitals, reduced administrative cost for the government single-payer, negotiated pricing for pharmaceuticals and durable medical equipment, and eliminating the high administrative cost of competing private plans. Further savings would result from a much-improved practice environment for primary care that eliminated disincentives for practice in under-served rural and urban areas, expanding access to primary care in the most cost-effective settings and reducing preventable ER visits and hospitalizations.
If all these recommendations were implemented, U.S. per-capita healthcare costs would likely fall into the range of Canada and other countries with universal systems that cost at least 30-40% less than what the U.S. now spends on health care.
Dr. Stephen Kemble is a psychiatrist in Hawaii who has followed health policy for decades and is a proponent of cost-effective universal healthcare.
Tracking the Medicaid Provisions in the 2025 Reconciliation Bill, Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF), Updated: May 19, 2025
Requires states to impose cost sharing of up to $35 per service on expansion adults with incomes 100-138% FPL; maintains existing exemptions of certain services from cost sharing and limits cost sharing for prescription drugs to nominal amounts. Maintains the 5% of family income cap on out-of-pocket costs. Effective Date: October 1, 2028
Reduces the expansion match rate from 90% to 80% for states that use their own funds to provide or support health coverage … for individuals who are not lawfully residing in the US. Effective Date: October 1, 2027
Requires states to condition Medicaid eligibility for individuals ages 19-64 applying for coverage or enrolled through the ACA expansion group on working or participating in qualifying activities for at least 80 hours per month. Effective Date: January 1, 2029
Limits retroactive coverage to one month prior to application for coverage. Effective Date: October 1, 2026
Delays $8 billion annual reductions in subsidies for hospitals with high uninsured and Medicaid rates to September 30, 2028.
Blocks implementation of long term care nurse staffing requirements.
Blocks Medicaid participation for large not-for-profits providing primarily reproductive health care, i.e., Planned Parenthood.
House Republicans’ Medicaid Cuts and Associated Lives Lost, Center for American Progress, May 15, 2025
House Republicans’ radical new budget plan proposes requiring states to implement Medicaid work reporting requirements for adults enrolled through the Affordable Care Act’s (ACA) Medicaid expansion. Under this proposal, nonpregnant, nondisabled, noncaregiver adults ages 19 to 64 would be required to document at least 80 hours per month of work or qualifying activities (such as volunteering) in order to maintain their Medicaid coverage. Otherwise, they would need to seek approval for a qualifying exemption.
Evidence from prior state-level implementations show that bureaucratic paperwork requirements do not increase employment but do result in large-scale coverage losses—even among those who are working or should be exempt from the requirements.
The consequences of such coverage losses, however, are not just administrative: For thousands of Americans, they would be deadly. New estimates from the Center for American Progress show that 6.9 million people losing coverage by 2034 as a result of congressional Republicans’ proposed paperwork requirements would lead to more than 21,600 avoidable deaths nationally each year. [Provides table of avoidable deaths for selected Congressional districts.]
By Jim Kahn, M.D., M.P.H.
Medicaid cuts in the House budget reconciliation bill just passed out of committee are a marvel of multidimensionality, severity, lethality, and politically adroitness. One by one:
Multifaceted: As inventoried by KFF, the changes are far-reaching in type, including enrollee cost-sharing, lower federal payments for states supporting undocumented immigrants, a work requirement, limited retroactivity, blocking minimum nursing staffing levels finalized under Biden, and proscribing participation by Planned Parenthood.
Severe: These are huge changes, with outsized increases in state costs; impaired affordability of care for enrollees with tenuous finances; millions of eligible individuals excluded from coverage by onerous (and ineffective) work requirements; dangerous nursing levels; and loss of a highly regarded provider organization. These shifts will massively impair access to care, with millions losing coverage and millions more facing new financial barriers. It will buffet state budgets, particularly in blue states that help the undocumented get coverage.
Deadly: As excerpted above, CAP estimates 21,600 added annual deaths, based on a 2017 study of Medicaid-associated reductions in mortality. Other research supports the substantial life-saving effects of Medicaid, including a comprehensive 2021 study using national surveys and datasets, and a just-published article in Lancet. There’s no question: cutting health insurance kills.
Machiavellian: The political chatter around these expected Medicaid cuts was that they would hurt the GOP in the 2026 midterms and 2028 presidential election. We underestimated the GOP political acumen / deviousness. Note that the most obviously hurtful provisions (e.g., cost-sharing and work requirements) go into effect only in late 2028 / early 2029 – thus minimizing pain to voters and electoral harm to the GOP in the interim. Guess who’ll be blamed by the voters for late 2028 and early 2029 Medicaid cuts? The Dems, if they win. Of course the Dems can cancel the cuts, but not in time to avoid significant political damage. And with GOP tax cuts (for the rich) and the Trump-tariffs-induced economic downturn, the federal budget won’t exactly be flush with funds to restore the program.
It’s truly astounding how complex Medicaid rules, funding, and politics have become. Take an apparently good idea – provide health insurance for the poor – and ultimately what you get is a major political distraction, with the immediate losers being the poor, and the long-term losers being the country. If only, if only … we could figure out a way to pay for health care simply, efficiently, generously … whereby we could remove our medical care from the dirty domain of party politics.
https://healthjusticemonitor.org…
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May 15, 2025
Additional episodes will be uploaded monthly. Subscribe in iTunes, or access a complete archive of the podcast, below.
By Chloe Crawford
Spero ~ Hope for the Future, May 13, 2025
The US healthcare system lives in two realities.
It is a system home to innovative treatments, leading research, and world-class hospitals, with the highest spending on health per person when compared to similar wealthy nations.1
However, simultaneously, it is a system where millions of Americans face barriers to healthcare. They must navigate complicated insurance rules, and a reality where an unexpected illness or accessing care without insurance can result in bankruptcy and crippling debt.
This leaves many to ask, “Why is access to healthcare in the United States so complicated and so expensive?”
To help answer this question, we spoke with Dr. Don McCanne, a retired physician, longtime health policy advocate, and Senior Health Policy Fellow with Physicians for a National Health Program (PNHP). Dr. McCanne has spent decades treating patients and fighting for reform. We explore how the U.S. got here – and with the help of Dr McCanne – how it might set out a different path forward.
While many similarly wealthy countries began to implement national health insurance plans throughout the 20th century, the US did not.
A brief timeline:
Early 20th Century – Independent physicians and low costs: In the early 1900s, most doctors in the United States worked independently, healthcare costs were relatively modest, and hospitals were often community-run or charitable institutions. There was a lack of country-wide healthcare initiatives or legislation. Most healthcare matters were left to states, who in turn left them to private and voluntary programs.
World War II – Birth of employer-based insurance: During World War II, wage controls prevented employers from raising salaries, so many began offering health insurance as a benefit to attract workers.3 This marked the beginning of America’s widely employer-based model of healthcare, where affordable access to healthcare became tied to one’s employment.
Post-War Era – Rise of for-profit insurance: Private health insurance was initially offered by nonprofit organisations like Blue Cross, which charged flat rates for hospital coverage.4 But after the war, they faced growing competition from for-profit insurers, who introduced risk-based pricing and charged more to groups with a history of higher health costs.5 For example, older or disabled workers faced higher rates. This laid the groundwork for systemic differences in access and affordability of healthcare.
Cold War Impact – National Health Insurance attempts blocked: While several presidents, including Truman and Kennedy, proposed national health insurance, these efforts met fierce resistance.6 Opponents, especially the American Medical Association and private insurers, framed such proposals as “a communist plot,” invoking Cold War fears of communism.7 As other wealthy nations built universal health systems after World War II, the U.S. doubled down on private-sector solutions.
1950s-60s – Tax policy and expansion of private plans: Private insurance continued to expand, partly because employer contributions to health coverage were not included in a worker’s taxable income.8 This tax advantage made it cheaper for employers to offer health benefits, cementing the dominance of private, job-based coverage. Meanwhile, those without employer coverage – especially retirees, the poor, and the unemployed – were often left behind.
1965 – A turning point! The creation of Medicare and Medicaid: President Lyndon B. Johnson signed the first nationwide public health insurance programs into law in 1965.9 Medicare provides federal health coverage for those over 65 and some with disabilities. Medicaid, a joint federal and state program, covers low-income individuals and families, but eligibility varies by state.
1980s-90s – Managed Care and Market Logic: Healthcare costs surged in the 1980s due to the introduction of new and expensive medical technologies, the use of a fee-for-service payment model (doctors and hospitals are paid for each test, procedure, or visit) which incentivised overuse, and minimal price regulation.10 In response, insurers introduced managed care models which restricted users to agreed-upon care providers and often required pre-approval to access certain services.11 While managed care briefly slowed cost growth, it also limited patient choice and created frustration and confusion among both patients and providers.
2010 – The Affordable Care Act: Introduced by President Obama and often referred to as Obamacare, it was aimed at reducing the number of uninsured Americans.12 It expanded Medicaid in many states and created online marketplaces where people could compare insurance plans. However, it preserved the central role of private insurers.
US healthcare is now a patchwork of private insurance plans and employer-sponsored coverage. While programmes like Medicare and Medicaid have helped millions, the system remains fragmented and dependent on private insurers. Dr McCanne and many like him believe these programmes need to go further. His career saw the impact of Medicare’s introduction on his elderly and retired patients, many of whom were living only on a social security check and were “suddenly able to have essentially unlimited healthcare.”
This is an approach he believes could work for everyone. However, over time, healthcare in the US has solidified itself as a for-profit industry, rather than a basic necessity for the benefit of everyone.
Today, about half of Americans get insurance through work. Around 9% have no insurance at all, and many more are underinsured.13 The current system is costly, complex to navigate, and corporatised.
Insurance doesn’t always mean affordable – Most plans include:
This means that many people who are technically insured still incur very high upfront or out-of-pocket costs.14
Insurance networks are restrictive – Most insurance plans use provider networks, approved doctors, and hospitals that have contracts with your insurer. If you go out-of-network, you’ll pay much more (or sometimes everything!) yourself.
Drugs and treatment are expensive! – Drug prices in the U.S. are much higher than in other countries.15 For example, insulin can cost almost 5x more in the US compared to just over the border in Canada.16 A key factor in this difference is that the US doesn’t regulate drug prices when products are launched or when substantial price increases are enacted after launch.17
Covid-19 exposed the underlying issues in the system – The pandemic laid bare some of the key systemic failures of US healthcare. Millions lost their jobs and, as a result, their health insurance. Hospitals were overwhelmed. Essential workers risked their lives with minimal reward.18 The crisis amplified calls for a more resilient, equitable system, not tied to employment nor distorted by profit.
Corporate Consolidation Has Taken Over Care – Healthcare is no longer local or community-based. Now, it’s big business. Through a process known as vertical integration, insurers, hospitals, and clinics have merged into giant corporate systems. For-profit companies now own the vast majority of healthcare facilities and practices, including hospices, nursing homes, and ambulance companies. For example, UnitedHealth, one of the largest insurers in the US, uses its offshoot company Optum to control more than 1500 clinics with 60,000 doctors. McCanne and his colleagues point to this example as evidence that “Increasingly, Americans’ insurer is also their doctor.”19
This corporate consolidation means less competition, fewer independent doctors, and decisions driven by profit for shareholders, no matter the cost to patients.
The result? Medical debt is one of the number 1 causes of bankruptcy in the U.S.20
Even insured patients can end up owing thousands for hospital stays, Emergency Room visits, or medications. Surprise bills, out-of-network charges, and denied claims leave many financially devastated.
Studies show:
For decades, advocates like Dr. McCanne and organisations like Physicians for a National Health Program (PNHP) have championed Medicare for All – a single-payer national health insurance system that:24
This doesn’t have to come at great cost to the American people. Dr McCane points to the many studies that show that comprehensive care can be provided to everyone at no greater cost than is currently being spent.25
But McCanne and others now recognise that even this bold reform must go further. They want you to ask not just how care is paid for care but who owns and provides it.
As corporate control over care delivery grows, reformers argue that the US needs a National Health Service model – publicly funded and publicly owned. In this model:26
This approach would put public health back in the hands of the people, where it belongs.
Dr. McCanne’s story is one of lifelong commitment. Inspired by his father, a teacher who became a physician later in life, he and his twin brother entered medicine not to get rich, but to serve. They set up and ran a community practice in San Juan Capistrano where they accepted all patients, no matter their citizenship or financial status.27
Now in his late 80s, despite health issues and retirement, he continues to write and advocate for change. He co-authored the long-running “Quote of the Day” column on health policy, now continued as Health Justice Monitor by his colleague, Dr. Jim Kahn. Even in today’s turbulent political climate, he still believes progress is possible:
“The injustice of our healthcare system is becoming harder to ignore. People are waking up.”
When asked what gives him hope, he points to the next generation. “At 87, I know that I won’t see it, but I still have hope for the future.”
Dr McCanne shows us the impact of showing up, dedicating time to your community and not losing hope. He still believes that the US has every potential to live up to its proclamations of being a great country for all those who live in it. Healthcare reform in the United States is not a pipe dream. It is within reach.
Dr McCanne serves as a reminder that change doesn’t start in government; it starts with people who care. Patients, doctors, nurses, and voters must stand together and demand a system that works for everyone. This sentiment rings even more true next to a backdrop of recent cuts to healthcare programmes and research.28
When reflecting on his lifelong fight for more equitable and accessible healthcare in the US Dr McCanne leaves us with this: “I realise that there is so much more work left to do, and it’s going to have to be done by you. I just hope that some of us can provide a modicum of inspiration to help move the process forward. We are so close.”
Learn more about the solutions being proposed to US healthcare at: PNHP.org, Health Justice Monitor, DoctorsForAmerica.org
If you live in the US, talk to your representatives, share your own experiences and struggles with the system and vote at elections with healthcare in mind!
For those outside the US, take inspiration from Dr McCanne on how to persevere in pursuing a more just world for yourself and others.
Stay tuned at Spero to learn about other healthcare systems around the world!
https://spero-hopeforthefuture.com…
Query: Please tell me about health insurance in South Korea. What financing approach is used for the primary coverage — e.g., all private insurers (and of those, a role for profit)? all public? a mix? Is separate supplemental insurance? What % of the population is uninsured? Does everyone have the same coverage (benefits + cost-sharing obligations)? How high are deductibles? How common is medical bankruptcy / debt? How common are access to care problems for financial reasons? What is annual health care spending per capita? (Feel free to compare to the US)
South Korea’s healthcare system is primarily a publicly financed, single-payer model known as the National Health Insurance Service (NHIS). It offers universal coverage with a standardized benefits package, supplemented by private insurance options. Here’s an overview comparing key aspects with the U.S. system:
1. Financing and Structure
2. Universal Coverage and Enrollment
3. Benefits and Cost-Sharing
4. Supplemental Private Insurance
5. Financial Protection and Access
6. Health Expenditure

By Jim Kahn, M.D., M.P.H.
My wife and I are in Seoul, the capital of South Korea, on holiday. Our first three days have been wonderful, in this vibrant, easy-to-navigate, safe, and friendly city. We’ve had terrific conversations with quite a few people, despite our nearly non-existent Korean. Many locals manage well in English, and love to discuss their country and ours. They seem pleased to discover that we know a bit about Korean history and culture, gleaned from reading and Korean TV dramas. As far as we can tell, the culture combines diligence about work and family obligations with a sense of calm. We see consistent evidence of high trust, with valuable items (even a vendor’s cash box) left unguarded.
Of course, I’m no sociologist, and our impressions are preliminary and tentative. Still, we like what we’ve seen so far. Of note, South Korea has a thriving, free-market economy. And a thriving democracy –a popular uprising suppressed an attempted military coup by the president in December 2024.
So, naturally, I had to inquire about how health insurance works here. I know some people are skeptical about ChatGPT and other AI large language models. However, the latest versions are, based on my scrutiny, reliable sources of nuanced information. A carefully phrased query yields a highly edifying response.
As you see in the excerpt, South Korea relies on single payer. The result is high access, low costs, and impressive longevity. I can’t prove it, but I believe that universal public insurance also contributes to the high level of friendliness, calm, and trust that we’ve seen so far. Certainly, there are no significant downsides to providing universal insurance. When, oh when, will the US learn from the myriad exemplary insurance practices around the world?
https://healthjusticemonitor.org…
Stay informed! Subscribe to the McCanne Health Justice Monitor to receive regular policy updates via email, and be sure to follow them on Twitter @HealthJustMon.